My Photo Slide Show

His Interview On The Worlld-Wide COVID-19 Failures & Vaccines

Roswell Reached 91F Saturday - Rain Still Possible Next Week.









GFS 500 MB (18,000' MSL) Forecast.
Valid @ 6 AM MDT Thursday, Nov 3, 2016.

Last nights 00Z/6 PM MDT run of the GFS model drops out cutoff low into northern Baja, California by sunrise next Thursday morning. The computer forecast models are showing signs of disagreeing on exactly where this storm will end up and for how long. Which is fairly typical for this type of storm. It may end up wobbling around northern Mexico into next weekend.


GFS Surface Map Forecast.
Valid @ 6 AM MDT Thursday, Nov 3, 2016.

Last nights GFS surface map forecast shows that a backdoor cold front will be moving southward and westward down the eastern plains of New Mexico Wednesday into Thursday morning. Low level upslope from from the southeast is forecast to combine with the lift and instability of the cutoff low to our west to help moisten up and destabilize the atmosphere. Therefore the calendar may say that its the first week of November but thunderstorms are forecast over the area Wednesday into at least Thursday. Some of these may be strong. Cooler temps will invade the area behind the frontal passage.


GFS Storm Total Rainfall Forecast.
Valid @ 6 PM MDT Saturday, Nov 5, 2016. 




Our chances for a decent rain still look good. Last nights run of the GFS model continues to paint 1" to 1.50" across most of the southeastern plains from Wednesday into next weekend. This is not 100% for certain though. Should the cutoff low to our southwest end up digging further west and stalling then our chances of rain would be less as would the amount that falls. 





Nowhere to be found anytime soon according to the GFS Ensemble model forecasts. Normally the Pecos Valley sees its first freeze by the last week of October into the first week of November.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Comments

2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM 24-Hour Temp Graph

2.1 Downtown Carlsbad, NM 30-Day Temps

My Current Davis Vantage Pro Plus Weather

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussions

NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC)

NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC)
Current Watches In Effect

Storm Prediction Center

Storm Prediction Center
Severe Weather Outlooks/Watches - Click On The Map To Open It.

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map
Click On The Map To Go To The Live Link.

NWS 12-Hour Surface Map Forecast

NWS 12-Hour Surface Map Forecast
Click On The Map To Open It Up.

Eddy County Watches & Warnings

Lea County Watches & Warnings

Culberson County - Guadalupe Mtn's Watches & Warnings

NWS Midland Web Page

NWS Midland Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

Chaves County Watches & Warnings

Lincoln County Watches & Warnings

NWS Albuquerque Web Page

NWS Albuquerque Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecasts.

Otero County Watches & Warnings

NWS El Paso Web Page

NWS El Paso Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS El Paso/Santa Teresa Regional Forecasts.

NWS Lubbock Web Page

NWS Lubbock Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecasts.

Cloudcroft Live Webcam