Why Are My Weather Posts Missing From Facebook.

Hello everyone. I just wanted to let you know that my Facebook page was shut down without any warning by Facebook this past Saturday, June 8th. All I was told was that I had violated their community standards. I don't know what triggered that; they didn't tell me. I was told this may be permanent or for six months.
My guess is that it may be because I posted several comments and articles from my Substack page about the riots in LA, and that must have triggered/angered someone, and they complained, thus Facebook shut me down. I don't know this as fact, though. I have appealed this decision, and I'm still waiting for their reply. I have read on X that this has happened to other Facebook users posting about the LA riots as well.
I always share my weather blog posts (that I post here) on my Facebook page and my X page. This included over twelve different New Mexico and West Texas Facebook Community sites. So there are thousands of you out there (based on my views and shares of those posts) who will no longer see those posts. My Facebook page may or may not be restored.
This is another good reason (as the National Weather Service often reminds us) to have multiple ways of receiving severe weather alerts when severe weather threatens your location. My weather web page is one of those ways, and I really appreciate all of you who have and still do use it. Thank you so much!!!
If my Facebook page is restored, I will continue to share my weather blog posts and some of the NWS Watches and Warnings...as I have been doing for years now.

Continued Very Warm Through Wednesday - Rain Later Next Week?




GFS 500 MB (18,000' MSL) Forecast.
Valid @ 6 AM MDT Thursday, Nov 3, 2016.


European (ECMWF) 500 MB (18,000' MSL Forecast.
Valid @ 6 PM MDT Wednesday, Nov 2, 2016.

Canadian (GEM) 500 MB (18,000' MSL) Forecast.
Valid @ 6 AM MDT Thursday, Nov 3, 2016.

Our warm and dry October weather is forecast to continue into next Wednesday dominated by a stout ridge of high pressure aloft. By Thursday the GFS, ECMWF, and the GEM models agree that a cutoff upper level low (depicted by each model above at the 500 millibar level, or at 18,000' above seal level) will park itself just south of Arizona or southwest of New Mexico. Nothing unusual about this since these types of storms happen fairly frequently in the fall. By saying it is a cutoff storm this means that the storm itself is cut off from the jet stream flow which will remain well north of the state in Canada. When this happens these storms tend to move little or very slowly and have been known to produce heavy rain and snow across the state. 








GFS Storm Total Rainfall Forecast.
Valid @ 6 AM MDT Saturday, Nov 5, 2016.

GFS Storm Total Snowfall Forecast.
Valid @ 6 AM MDT Saturday, Nov 5, 2016.

WPC Storm Total Rainfall Forecast.
Valid @ 6 AM MDT Saturday, Nov 5, 2016.

GFS 10-Day Temp & Rainfall Forecast For Artesia, NM.

Heavy rain in November in New Mexico is not something we see a lot of. So when the models crank out 1" to 2" of rainfall from next Thursday into Sunday it catches my eye. Not that its impossible for this to happen, its not, it just does not happen that often.











Time to throw the caution flag up. These forecasts are 5-7 days out and there could likely be some changes as the models get a better handle of this storm. One thing appears pretty certain is that the airmass over the state will remain too warm for any significant snowfall through next weekend and this includes the northern mountains of the state.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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