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Lookout Complex

 LOOKOUT COMPLEX
UPDATE
Lookout Complex – Fire Information – (575) 652-5001
Sunday, July 24, 2011-6:00 a.m.                    
Information Officers: Loretta Benavidez,  Joel Arnwine, Linda Wallace
Detected:  July 20, 2011                                         Cause:  Lightning                                  
Containment: 35 percent                                        Location: Southwest of Carlsbad
Fuel Type: Pinion juniper, brush and grass     Terrain:  Steep and Rugged
The Pecos Zone TypeIII Team, led by Incident Commander Jay Northcott, continues to oversee suppression efforts on the three fires that make up the Lookout Complex. They are mostly within the Guadalupe Ranger District, southwest of Carlsbad, NM.  The northern most fire, the Acrey Fire has crossed onto BLM and State lands.  Today, firefighters will continue both direct and indirect suppression tactics The fires are burning in steep rugged terrain in grass, pinion juniper and Ponderosa Pine.
Smoke has been visible from Highway 137 and US 62/180 south and west of Carlsbad. A chance that afternoon winds will pick up can cause an increase in fire activity.  Aerial resources will assist ground resources in protecting two ranch houses that are threatened by the fire. Natural gas and oil infrastructure northeast of the Acrey fire could be threatened. Firefighters will focus suppression efforts on this portion of the fire.
The Segrest fire which started yeaterday, was 8-10 miles west of the Acrey fire. This fire was is currently 21 acres in size. With the aid of five aerial drops, firefighters plan to continue with mop-up operations on the fire today.
Current Size:  18,544 (combined acreage)
Summary: The fires are actively burning in steep, rocky, inaccessible terrain on lands managed by the Bureau of Land Management, US Forest Service, and State lands southwest of Carlsbad, NM.
Aerial resources will be utilized to help check the fires’ spread.
Fire Behavior: Due to the drying out of fuels increased fire ‘behavior can be expected today.
Weather: Today partly cloudy, 30% chance of scattered thunderstorms development across the areas. Maximum temperatures will be 89 degrees. Relative humidity at 30%. Winds out of the South to Southwest 10-15 mph.
Resources include personnel and equipment from: U.S. Forest Service, Bureau of Land Management, Bureau of Indian Affairs, New Mexico State Forestry, and Eddy County volunteer fire departments. Approximately 315 personnel are assigned to the complex.

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An upper-level disturbance brings rain chances back in the forecast Friday night through Saturday. Rainfall amounts look to remain light keeping the flash flood threat very low. Localized flooding may occur across the Davis Mountains and Big Bend due to runoff with any heavier pockets of rainfall.

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Pleasant Fall weather persists today with light winds and mostly sunny skies!

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High temperatures remain rather pleasant with mostly tranquil weather today before slightly cooler and wetter weather arrives late Friday through Saturday. Another round of wetter weather returns by Tuesday next week.

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Mostly light rain crosses NM late Friday thru Saturday night mainly south of I-40. Second storm brings valley rain and mountain snow to northern and eastern NM Saturday morning thru Saturday night. Low risk of localized flooding across northwest NM where wet ground conditions persist.

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Slick winter travel impacts will favor the high elevations of northern New Mexico, mainly above 9,000 feet. The second in a tandem of storm systems passes over northern and eastern New Mexico bringing valley rain and high mountain snow, with some thunderstorms mixed in.

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Mild and sunny conditions are expected across the region today. Winds will generally be out of the west at 5-10 mph.

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A chance for showers returns to the region during the day on Saturday. The best chance for showers, and a few storms, is Saturday evening into Saturday night. Showers and storms may linger into Sunday off the Caprock. Total rainfall amounts are unlikely to exceed an inch on the Caprock, while off the Caprock there is a chance (20-40%) for over one inch of rain.

NWS Lubbock Graphic Forecast

NWS Lubbock Graphic Forecast
Precipitation chances return Friday night through Sunday, with the best chances being Saturday night. Severe storms are not expected, but rainfall amounts over an inch are possible (20-40% chance) off the Caprock. Cooler conditions are expected at the start of next week, when highs may only be in the low 50s.

My Rainfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Rainfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Seasonal Snowfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Seasonal Snowfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

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