Current Conditions 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Artesia-Cottonwood LP Supercell Chase Time-Lapse Video

Summer Heat & Tropical Storm Don.

Tropical Storm Don.

Click On The Maps To Enlarge Them.

Taken At 6:15 AM MDT This Morning.


Valid 6 AM MDT Today - 6 AM MDT Tue Aug 2, 2011.
Please note that this precipitation forecast (map above)
will change daily as new model data becomes available.

Tropical Storm Don was located 545 miles ESE of Corpus
Christi, Texas as of 6 AM MDT this morning. He is moving
off to the WNW at 10 mph. He has sustained winds of 40
mph with higher gusts. His central pressure is down to
 1000 MB/29.53".  

The models are having fits with Don. His forecast movement
off to the WNW or NW seems ok for now. Where they are 
struggling is whether or not he will strengthen rapidly and
become a Hurricane, or remain a Tropical Storm. Please
see the latest NHC updates for the latest on Don.

At this time, it appears that there is a reasonable chance
that W TX and SE NM will at least some of the remnant 
moisture from Don, possibly as early as this weekend.
Just how much and for how long remains questionable
at this time.

 However, there is the risk that the remnants of Don could
bring much needed rainfall to the area this weekend into
next week. There is also the possibility that these rains
could elevate the flash flood threat across the area.

 I am very concerned about this possibility given the 
current state of the drought griping the area, and the
number of areas that have been burned off from all 
of the wildfires, this spring and summer. These areas
have the potential to flood much more rapidly than is
normally the case, and should be monitored often if
this comes to pass.

HOT!

High temps will continue to range from 100 -105 today
into the weekend across most of SE NM. A few t-storms
will dot the plains this afternoon and evening. More
numerous t-storms will fire up over and near the mtn's.
Localized heavy rainfall and flash flooding will be 
possible in these areas, especially over and near
the burn scar areas.

High Temps Wednesday-

8-Mile Draw Raws 106
Paduca Raws - Near WIPP 106
Carlsbad Airport 105
2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad 105
Caprock Raws 103
Roswell Airport 103
Artesia Airport 100
Hobbs Airport 100

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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