Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

You Know When Its 91°F In February In NM Something Is Up. It Is - Winter Returns Mon & Tue.


Sierra Blanca Peak At Sunset 2-19-2016.


500 MB Forecast Valid @ 5 AM MST Tuesday, February 23, 2016.

Temperature Forecast Valid @ 5 PM MST Tuesday, February 23, 2016.

Storm Total Rainfall Forecast Valid @ 11 PM MST Tuesday, February 23, 2016.

Accumulated Snowfall Forecast Valid @ 11 PM MST Tuesday, February 23, 2016.

WPC Accumulated Snowfall Forecast.
Valid @ 5 AM MST Wednesday, February 24, 2016.

This past Thursday was a rather remarkable day for the local area. Roswell topped out with a high temperature of 91°F at the Airport which not only established a record high for the day (beating the old record of 83°F in 1986) but also established a new all time high for the month of February (beating the old record of 88°F set on Feb 24, 1904). This was also the earliest that Roswell had reached 90°F beating the previous record of 90°F on March 2, 1967. \

Here in Carlsbad I recorded a high temperature of 90°F last Thursday. The Carlsbad Climate Co-Op Station and the Carlsbad Airport both recorded high temperatures of 88°F, both of which were also new record high temperatures for the date. The Carlsbad Climate Co-Op Station beat their previous record of 82°F set in 1977 and the Airport beat their previous record of 85°F set in 1996. 

The Artesia Climate Co-Op Station recorded a high temperature last Thursday of 87°F which beats the old record for the date of 83°f which was set in 1970. The Tatum Climate Co-Op Station recorded a high temperature of 84°F which beat the old record of 78°F set in 2011. 

The Cloudcroft Climate Co-Op Station recorded a high temperature last Thursday of 61°F which beat the old record of 58°F set in 1951.  

Winter Returns Monday Night Into Wednesday.

A fast moving cold front approaching from the north will sweep across the area Monday night into Tuesday morning. Meanwhile a trough of low pressure that will be deepening and diving southeastward out of the Idaho and Utah areas on Monday will take aim on the state Monday night into Wednesday morning. The Canadian model (GEM) seems at this time to have the best handle on this fast moving winter storm to impact the state.  


Northern and northeastern New Mexico are currently forecast to receive the brunt of this next storms heaviest snows. Several of the models have up to or close to a foot of snow falling across the northeastern third of the state including the Raton area. If the Canadian model (see graphic above) is correct with its snowfall forecast then accumulating snows may fall as far south as the Tatum area by  Tuesday night. Both the Canadian and the WPC models have snow falling over most of southeastern New Mexico but not accumulating by Tuesday night. Most of the local area will only see afternoon highs in the mid 30's to mid 40's Tuesday if the Canadian is correct. 



Believe it or not but a few isolated thunderstorms may approaching or become marginally severe Monday afternoon and evening. Low level southeasterly upslope flow is forecast to return to the area on Monday and deepen Monday night. Good lift and dynamics aloft ahead of the approaching cold front and upper level storm will provide an unstable atmosphere over southeastern New Mexico and parts of West Texas. Thunderstorms will be possible and capable of producing hail, gusty winds, and dangerous cloud to ground lightning. 

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Comments

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112
WHEN WILL THE NEXT CME ARRIVE? A magnetic filament in the sun's southrn hemisphere erupted on Oct. 4th, hurling part of itself into space. The emerging CME will pass mostly to the south of our planet, but a fraction could graze Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 8th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for minor geomagnetic storms and auroras on that date.

NWS Forecast High Temps Today

NWS Forecast Low Temps Tonight

NWS Storm Total Precipitation Forecast

NWS Total Snowfall Forecast

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures

NWS Midland Twitter

NWS Albuquerque Twitter

NWS El Paso Twitter

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map
Click On The Map To Go To The Live Link.

SPC Current Watches In Effect

SPC Mesoscale Discussions

SPC Day -1 Severe Weather Outlook

Regional Radar

National Hurricane Center - Atlantic

NWS Midland Web Page

NWS Midland Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Midland Radar

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Web Page

NWS Albuquerque Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

Cannon AFB Radar

NWS Albuquerque Radar

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecasts.

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS El Paso Web Page

NWS El Paso Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS El Paso Radar

Holloman AFB Radar

NWS El Paso Regional Forecasts.

NWS Lubbock Web Page

NWS Lubbock Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Lubbock Radar

Lubbock Regional Forecast

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecasts.

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecast

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecast
Average First Freeze

10-6-2022: NINO RODRIGUEZ & KERRY CASSIDY: A CONVERSATION

10-4-2022: Meri Interviews Juan O. Savin With Intel On President Trump, Russia, And The Elections

10-4-2022: JUAN O'SAVIN W/ MAJOR INTEL ON UPCOMING WARGAMING OF MID-TERMS W/ DAVID NINO RODRIGUEZ

10-4-2022: Derek Johnson & Michael Jaco SHOCKING News

10-3-2022: Tucker Carlson: Biden is responsible for this destruction in Europe