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Fall Freeze Data For New Mexico

Last Nights Rainfall Totals.


Saturday, August 18, 2018.

What looked like a small and very brief shear funnel cloud that lasted less than one minute popped out of the base of this thunderstorm east of Ruidoso Downs this past Saturday morning at 11:41 AM MDT. Its just above the hilltop and to the left of the flag pole. 

Last Nights Rainfall.

(As Of 4 PM MDT This Monday Afternoon).







Judging by the intense lightning generated by this mornings complex of thunderstorms (MCS) that rolled southward through the Pecos Valley and the Caprock area you would have thought that most of us got clobbered by heavy rain. Not so. Once again it was a true case of hit and miss. There were pockets of 1" to 2" totals but these occurred east of Artesia and Carlsbad, and south and southwest of Carlsbad.

Midland NWS Doppler Radar Estimated 24-Hour Rainfall Totals.





Rainfall estimates by the Midland National Weather Service Doppler Radar appear to have been too high this morning...cut these total in half and you would be closer to the ground truth based on what was reported it appears. We picked up .15" here at our home in northwest Carlsbad while a few blocks away radar estimated that an inch of rain fell from Spring and Mesa streets eastward. But a CoCoRaHS rainfall observer only reported .56" to our east. So while radar was estimating that 3" may have fallen east of Hwy 31 east of Carlsbad the truth may be closer to 1.50" to 2.00". This year has just been crazy how spotty the rains have been.

Much Of SE NM Still Looks Like This.

Saturday, August 8, 2018.
Taken South Of Roswell, New Mexico.

Dry pastures still dominate much of our local landscape even with the summer rains. That's because these rains have been really spotty in nature so far. Drive down the road a mile or a few miles and you see the same landscape but its lush and green. Go on another few miles and its back to dry, dry, dry.

Case in point. The Carlsbad Airport picked up .12" of rainfall this morning which brings their August total to .73". Normal through the 20th of August is 1.24". This brings their year-to-date total to 5.84" compared to a normal of 8.25" as of this morning. So the Carlsbad Airport is still about 3" behind normal for this time of the year. And they have had roughly 3.20" more of rain this year than I have.

Six miles to the northwest my August total with this mornings .15" now stands at .45" which brings my year-to-date total to 2.65". This puts me at about 5.60" behind normal for this time of the year. This is typical for most of Southeastern New Mexico too.


The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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Rain chances continue over the Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos today before ending this evening. A cold front will move through our area on Sunday and will bring much cooler temperatures Monday and Tuesday. A gradual warming trend returns Wednesday-Friday with low rain chances late in the week over far southeast NM and the Permian Basin.

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A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect across the Tusas Mountains from midnight tonight to 9 PM MST Saturday. Snow is expected above 8,500 feet, with accumulations generally between 4 to 8 inches. Travel could be very difficult on U.S. Highway 64 between Tres Piedras and Tierra Amarilla. Tire traction will be reduced. Extend the distance between your vehicle and the vehicle in front of you.

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Snow above 8,500' will generally range 4-8 inches. Slick winter travel will favor the U.S. 64 corridor through the Tusas Mountains.

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Cooler and wetter weather today. Calmer weather returns late Sunday through Monday before the next storm system looks to clip northwestern NM Tuesday.

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Saturday will be another near normal day with highs climbing to the upper 60s, approaching 70 F across the area. Skies will be mostly cloudy to start the day then becoming partly cloudy by late morning. Isolated rain showers will be around in the morning and taper off by mid afternoon. West winds will begin to pick up in the afternoon, with sustained winds at 15-20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

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Cloudy skies and scattered rain showers will continue through the day. Highs will only be in the 50s for most locations. Rain will continue into the evening hours, but gradually come to an end from west to east tonight.

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Cloudy and breezy Sunday with highs in the 50s, then cold Monday morning, with lows dropping to near freezing on the Caprock. Remaining chilly on Tuesday despite more sunshine, with some warming on Wednesday.

My Rainfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Rainfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Seasonal Snowfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Seasonal Snowfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

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