Current Conditions 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Saturday Ushers In The Beginning Of The Meteorological Fall With Goods News.

August 30th, 2018.
Argo/Hidalgo Gas Plant 21 Miles West Of Orla, Texas.

Summer Upper Air Pattern Fades As The Meteorological Fall Arrives.

Valid At 6 PM MDT Saturday, September 1st, 2018.

Valid At 6 AM MDT Tuesday, September 4, 2018.

Our summer heat ridge (at the mid levels of the atmosphere or the 18,000' level) has shifted east to eastern third of the nation today. Meanwhile a trough of low pressure is digging southward from south-central Canada into the Desert Southwest. This mid-level trough is forecast to stick around through the first of next week. This will help knock our temps down and increase our chances for rain from tomorrow into the at least the middle of next week. Subtropical moisture from Mexico is forecast to spread northward into New Mexico during this time.

Week Long Rains Forecast?

ECMWF Forecast Storm Total Rainfall Amounts.

Valid Today Through Next Thursday Morning.

GFS Forecast Storm Total Rainfall Amounts.

Valid Today Through Next Thursday Morning.

GFS 10-Day Temp & Rainfall Forecast.

Carlsbad, New Mexico.

Today's 18Z run of the US GFS computer forecast model gets rather excited about rain across Southeastern New Mexico over the next week. It comes up with 4" for Carlsbad by next Thursday. The European (ECMWF) is less optimistic with that much rain...1.50" to 3.00" for most of the local area. 

Weather Prediction Centers (WPC) 7 Day Rainfall Forecast.

Valid Saturday Through Next Friday.

On board with the idea of widespread soaking rains is the WPC's model which comes up with 1.50" to nearly 2.50" over the entire local area. We will also need to be watching to see if a tropical system forms in the Gulf of Mexico next week which could add to the mix down the road. Remember that the model rainfall forecasts depicted above are a guide and are to be used with caution. Total rainfall amounts over the next week will more than likely be somewhat different than shown above. Some areas could get more rain and some less. But the overall trend is for a cool down with wetting beneficial rains. 

Meteorological Fall Begins Saturday.

Say goodbye to the meteorological summer tonight because our meteorological fall (Sept 1st - November 30th) begins tomorrow. Like most of you I'm ready for fall. Although it has been a typical hot summer for us it really wasn't anything unusual temperature-wise. Here at our home in northwest Carlsbad my highest temperature recorded so far was 109ºF (108.5ºF) on June 24th with an average temperature for that day of 92.4ºF. From June 1st through August 31st of this year I recorded a total of 26 days with high temperatures of 100ºF or above. And for the year this number stands at 37 days.

August 28th, 2018.
Looking Northeast From Black River Village Rd.

Current Weather At 3:35 PM Friday, August 31, 2018.

Summer 2018 High/Low Temps.
(June 1st - August 31st).

Lincoln & Otero Counties.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!


Alerts For Lincoln National Forest

Alerts For Santa Fe

Alerts For Carson National Forest

Alerts For Cibola National Forest and National Grasslands

Alerts For Gila National Forest

Live Stream Cloudcroft Webcams

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map
Click On The Map To Go To The Live Link.

SPC Current Watches In Effect

SPC Mesoscale Discussions

SPC Day -1 Severe Weather Outlook

SPC Day-1 Fire Weather Outlook

Regional Radar

NWS Midland Web Page

NWS Midland Web Page
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NWS Midland Regional Forecast

Eddy County

Lea County

Culberson County - Guadalupe Mtn's

NWS Albuquerque Web Page

NWS Albuquerque Web Page
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NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecasts.

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

Chaves County

Lincoln County

NWS El Paso Web Page

NWS El Paso Web Page
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NWS El Paso Regional Forecasts.

Otero County

NWS Lubbock Web Page

NWS Lubbock Web Page
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Lubbock Regional Forecast

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecasts.

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecast

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