Complex Of T-Storms To Move Into SE NM Tonight.
As Of 6 AM MDT Sunday, August 2, 2020.
(Reported & Radar/Satallite Estimated).
As Of 1 PM MDT Sunday, August 2, 2020.
The Aspen Grove Personal Weather Station located 5 miles south-southwest of Cloudcroft reported 2.79" of rain yesterday. Just a couple miles south radar estimated 3.50" of rain fell. While yet again the Southeastern Plains, for the most part, got left out.
Short-range model forecasts call for a line or complex (MCS-Mesoscale Compex System) to move south and southeastward down Eastern New Mexico and into Southeastern New Mexico early this evening. Yea I know we've heard this song for the last couple of nights and nobody got up and danced to the music...it didn't rain. A mid-level short wave is forecast to drop southward into the local area tonight causing all of the commotion.
If this model forecast is right then we should see fairly widespread thunderstorm activity this evening until around the midnight hour. A few severe thunderstorms will be possible and will be capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, frequent deadly cloud to ground lightning, and locally moderate to heavy rains.
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!