Heaviest Snows Tonight Into Wednesday Morning!

- Tuesday, February 11, 2020

LAS CRUCES - Monday night's storm brought hail and lightning to some locations across Las Cruces. Residents reported being hit the hardest in the East Mesa and Sonoma Ranch areas.

Other places saw rain but not hail. Rain showers were mostly reported in central and western parts of the city.

Joseph Rogash, a meteorologist with National Weather Service-El Paso, said a half-inch to three-quarter-inch (dime-sized) hail fell upon Las Cruces between the hours of 9 p.m. and midnight.

According to Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow Network, the largest hail stones were recorded near Mars Avenue off US 70. The heaviest rainfall, nearly 1 inch of rain, was also recorded in the East Mesa and just west of Las Cruces.

"Portions of El Paso and Hillsboro, New Mexico, reported some hail as well," Rogash said on Tuesday morning. "Right now we’re still expecting rain or snow mixed throughout the day but by tomorrow morning it should be ending."

Current Water Vapor Satellite Image.

Valid At 1:01 PM MST Tuesday Afternoon.

Rap 500 MB (18,000') Analysis.

Valid At 1 PM MST Tuesday Afternoon.

Taking a look at the latest satellite water vapor images and loops and we find that our closed mid-upper level low was located just southeast of Bisbee, Az as of 1 PM MST this Tuesday afternoon. It appears from the satellite loops that it is drifting slightly to the southeast and south.

Given that the short-range computer forecast models want to lift the storm more to the northeast this is good news for us. A further track to the south means better lift and dynamics aloft for snowmaking in our area tonight into Wednesday morning. As sometimes happens with these closed lows the models seem to be backing off on their snowfall forecasts for us tonight. That I believe is due to a more northward track over Eastern New Mexico tomorrow. If this low continues wobbling southward they will end up being wrong and we may end up with more snow than currently forecast.

GRLevel3_2.0 Radar Snapshot

(NWS El Paso/Santa Teresa Dual Pol Doppler Radar)

Valid At 2:24 PM MST Tuesday Afternoon.

Intellicast Regional Radar Composite.

Local and Regional Radar snapshots as of 2 PM MST show a mix of rain and snow over much of New Mexico with the rain across the El Paso and far southwestern corner of the state. Here in Southeastern New Mexico, we have experienced a mix of drizzle, freezing drizzle (mostly in Lea County), rain, sleet, and snow. Snow continues to fall across the Sacramento and Guadalupe mountains as of 2 PM.

As the closed mid-upper level low slides generally eastward tonight and then begins to lift northeastward on Wednesday snow is forecast to increase and become widespread tonight across the local area. Locally heavy snow is still in our forecasts especially over and near the mountains.

New Mexico Road Conditions At 3 PM MST Tuesday.

Snowfall Forecasts.

NAM 3K Precipitation Type Forecast.

Valid At 5 PM MST This Evening.

Valid At 9 PM MST Tonight.

Valid At Midnight MST Tonight.

NAM WRF Snowfall Forecast.

Winter Storm Warning For Chaves County.

(Valid Through 11 PM MST Tonight.)

3" to 6" Accumulations Below 7,500'.
Roswell Could See Up To 5".

Winter Storm Warning For Lincoln County.
(Valid Through 11 PM MST Tonight.)

3" to 6" Accumulations Below 7,500'.

6" to 12" Accumulations Above 7,500'
Ruidoso Could See Up To 7"
Ski Apache Could See Up To 17"

Winter Storm Warning For Otero County.
(Valid Through 5 AM MST Wednesday.)

Mayhill/Sacramento/Weed Could See 6" To 12"
Cloudcroft Could See 6" To 12" Possible Up To 18".

Winter Weather Advisory For Eddy/Lea Counties.
(Valid Through 5 AM MST Wednesday.)

Whites City-Queen Areas 4"+
Artesia-Carlsbad Areas 1" To 4"
Tatum-Hobbs-Jal Areas 1" To 3"

My gut feeling is that this incoming Winter Storm is going to dump more snow on us than what the models are forecasting. So don't be surprised tomorrow morning if you wake up in a winter wonderland.

NWS Albuquerque Reported Snowfall Totals.

SNOW

• null GASCON - 13.0 in.

• null ESTANCIA - 10.0 in.
• 4 NW SANDIA PARK - 10.0 in.

• 8 WNW WILLARD - 9.3 in.
• 1 WSW SEDILLO - 9.2 in.
• null EDGEWOOD - 9.0 in.
• 6 SSE GOLDEN - 9.0 in.
• 1 ESE SEDILLO - 9.0 in.
• 2 WSW EDGEWOOD - 9.0 in.
• 3 ENE PONDEROSA - 9.0 in.

• 2 SW MIERA - 8.7 in.
• 3 N CHILILI - 8.4 in.
• 1 NNW CEDAR CREST - 8.1 in.
• 8 SSW RED RIVER - 8.0 in.
• null TECOLOTITO - 8.0 in.
• 1 S SEDILLO - 8.0 in.
• 1 WSW PONDEROSA - 8.0 in.
• 8 NE ARROYO SECO - 8.0 in.

• 2 NNW EDGEWOOD - 7.5 in.
• 2 NNW EDGEWOOD - 7.5 in.
• 1 ESE TRUCHAS - 7.5 in.
• 1 N MORIARTY - 7.3 in.
• 2 W PONDEROSA - 7.1 in.
• 4 E SANDIA PARK - 7.0 in.
• 3 ESE ANGEL FIRE - 7.0 in.
• 6 SE PLACITAS - 7.0 in.
• 5 E EL MORRO - 7.0 in.
• null JEMEZ SPRINGS - 7.0 in.
• 2 N EDGEWOOD - 7.0 in.
• null TIJERAS - 7.0 in.
• 2 SE MANZANO - 7.0 in.
• null DIXON - 7.0 in.

• 2 NW EL RITO - 6.0 in.
• 2 E GLORIETA - 6.0 in.
• 1 SSE DILIA - 6.0 in.
• 13 ESE CUBA - 6.0 in.
• null LAS VEGAS - 6.0 in.
• 15 ESE CORONA - 6.0 in.
• 2 E SAN PABLO - 6.0 in.

• 1 SSW SAN ANTONITO - 5.9 in.
• 2 NNE ROWE - 5.8 in.
• 1 NNW ROMEROVILLE - 5.7 in.
• null ARROYO HONDO - 5.6 in.
• 2 NE PLACITAS - 5.5 in.
• 7 NW SANTA FE - 5.3 in.
• 2 NNW SEDILLO - 5.0 in.
• 12 SSE COYOTE - 5.0 in.
• 3 E LOS ALAMOS - 5.0 in.
• 6 ESE MOGOLLON - 5.0 in.
• 1 WSW LOS ALAMOS - 5.0 in.
• 1 ENE SAN ANTONITO - 5.0 in.
• 1 ESE ZUNI PUEBLO - 5.0 in.
• null TORREON NAVAJO MISSION - 5.0 in.
• 3 NW TRES RITOS - 5.0 in.
• 2 SW PECOS - 5.0 in.

• 3 WSW RIO RANCHO - 4.6 in.
• 3 SSW ENCINO - 4.6 in.
• 5 WSW ARROYO HONDO - 4.6 in.
• null RAMAH - 4.5 in.
• 3 ENE MIERA - 4.5 in.
• 1 WSW MIAMI - 4.3 in.
• null MIAMI - 4.3 in.
• 1 NE POJOAQUE PUEBLO - 4.2 in.
• 3 NW SANDIA PUEBLO - 4.0 in.
• 7 ESE CHUPADERO - 4.0 in.
• 5 NNW LAMY - 4.0 in.
• 7 NNW AGUA FRIA - 4.0 in.
• 1 N CANONES - 4.0 in.
• null POJOAQUE - 4.0 in.
• 3 N SANTA FE - 4.0 in.
• 1 W SANTA FE - 4.0 in.
• 4 NNW LAMY - 4.0 in.
• 9 E CUBA - 4.0 in.
• 3 E GALLUP - 4.0 in.
• 8 SE EAGLE NEST - 4.0 in.
• 8 NW ALBUQUERQUE - 4.0 in.
• null JEMEZ SPRINGS - 4.0 in.
• 5 SSE LLANO LARGO - 4.0 in.
• 6 WNW TERERRO - 4.0 in.
• 8 NNW GLORIETA - 4.0 in.
• 3 NNE AGUA FRIA - 4.0 in.

• 5 NW LAMY - 3.8 in.
• 5 ESE BLACK LAKE - 3.8 in.
• 6 SSE SANTA FE - 3.8 in.
• 5 ESE BLACK LAKE - 3.8 in.
• null TSE BONITO - 3.7 in.
• 1 SSE BERNALILLO - 3.6 in.
• 1 S SANTA FE - 3.5 in.
• 5 NNW AGUA FRIA - 3.5 in.
• 2 WSW RIO RANCHO - 3.5 in.
• 2 WSW HERNANDEZ - 3.5 in.
• null OJO ENCINO - 3.5 in.
• 3 W RIO RANCHO - 3.5 in.
• 3 WNW BERNALILLO - 3.5 in.
• 11 ENE BELL RANCH - 3.5 in.
• 4 NW LAMY - 3.4 in.
• 3 NNE LOS CERRILLOS - 3.4 in.
• 10 NNW SEDAN - 3.3 in.
• 2 SW BERNALILLO - 3.2 in.
• 1 ENE SANTA FE - 3.0 in.
• null ANGEL FIRE - 3.0 in.
• 3 ENE TUCUMCARI - 3.0 in.
• 6 S TEXICO - 3.0 in.
• 7 SSE CUERVO - 3.0 in.
• 5 NW LAMY - 3.0 in.
• 7 ESE CUBA - 3.0 in.
• 2 SW AGUA FRIA - 3.0 in.
• 1 S RIO RANCHO - 3.0 in.
• null ESPANOLA - 3.0 in.
• 5 SSW TOADLENA - 3.0 in.
• 1 SSW FORT SUMNER - 3.0 in.
• 13 NW SEDAN - 3.0 in.

• 2 SE SOUTH SAN YSIDRO - 2.9 in.
• 3 WSW CORRALES - 2.9 in.
• 2 SW AGUA FRIA - 2.8 in.
• 2 N CORRALES - 2.7 in.
• 1 NW CORRALES - 2.7 in.
• 1 W GRANTS - 2.7 in.
• null PORTALES - 2.5 in.
• 1 W CLAYTON - 2.5 in.
• 2 S YESO - 2.5 in.
• 2 SSW LOS CORDOVAS - 2.5 in.
• 8 WNW ALBUQUERQUE - 2.5 in.
• 2 WNW CLOVIS - 2.5 in.
• 3 N MILAN - 2.5 in.
• 6 SSE SANTA FE - 2.5 in.
• 5 ESE SANDIA PUEBLO - 2.5 in.
• null CONCHAS DAM - 2.5 in.
• 4 WSW RIO RANCHO - 2.4 in.
• 4 WSW RIO RANCHO - 2.4 in.
• 7 SE YATES - 2.3 in.
• 1 WNW EL RANCHO - 2.3 in.
• 2 W DATIL - 2.3 in.
• 2 W DATIL - 2.3 in.
• 8 S HAYDEN - 2.3 in.
• 1 ESE MENTMORE - 2.0 in.
• 4 N NEWKIRK - 2.0 in.
• null RED RIVER - 2.0 in.
• null CIMARRON - 2.0 in.
• null PORTALES - 2.0 in.
• 4 NNW TRES RITOS - 2.0 in.
• 7 NNW ALBUQUERQUE - 2.0 in.
• 5 ESE RED RIVER - 2.0 in.
• 5 NW CANONES - 2.0 in.
• 11 ENE RED RIVER - 2.0 in.
• 4 WNW RIO RANCHO - 2.0 in.
• 4 WNW RIO RANCHO - 2.0 in.
• 11 NNW CANON PLAZA - 2.0 in.
• 2 SW RIO RANCHO - 2.0 in.
• 1 NNE CORRALES - 2.0 in.
• 6 NW ALBUQUERQUE - 2.0 in.
• 1 SSW MADRID - 2.0 in.
• 22 WNW HAYDEN - 2.0 in.

• 1 W MCCARTYS - 1.8 in.
• 6 NNW ALBUQUERQUE - 1.8 in.
• 1 W MCCARTYS - 1.8 in.
• 1 SSE GALLUP - 1.7 in.
• 5 E SUMNER LAKE - 1.5 in.
• 6 NW ALBUQUERQUE - 1.5 in.
• 3 NW CARNUEL - 1.5 in.
• 2 WNW CLAYTON - 1.5 in.
• 5 NW ALBUQUERQUE - 1.5 in.
• 1 ENE CORRALES - 1.5 in.
• 3 NE BONITO LAKE - 1.3 in.
• 3 S SANTA FE - 1.2 in.
• 6 NNW ROSWELL - 1.2 in.
• 4 NW ALBUQUERQUE - 1.1 in.
• 4 NW ALBUQUERQUE - 1.1 in.
• 4 NW ALBUQUERQUE - 1.1 in.
• 1 N RATON - 1.0 in.
• 1 ESE CLOVIS - 1.0 in.
• 5 NE ALTO - 1.0 in.
• null SAN FIDEL - 1.0 in.
• 4 W ALBUQUERQUE - 1.0 in.
• 2 ENE TAOS - 1.0 in.
• 2 W ANGUS - 1.0 in.
• 7 SW ALBUQUERQUE - 1.0 in.
• null CAPITAN - 1.0 in.
• 2 SSW SANTA ANA PUEBLO - 1.0 in.

• 3 W ALBUQUERQUE - 0.8 in.
• 2 SSE ALBUQUERQUE - 0.7 in.
• 8 W SANDIA PARK - 0.5 in.
• 4 SSE ALBUQUERQUE - 0.5 in.
• 2 NW ROSWELL - 0.5 in.
• 5 N ROSWELL - 0.5 in.
• 2 WNW PLACITAS - 0.5 in.
• 4 ESE ALBUQUERQUE - 0.5 in.
• 5 S ALBUQUERQUE - 0.5 in.
• 1 N RUIDOSO - 0.5 in.
• 1 SSW RUIDOSO - 0.5 in.
• 5 S ALBUQUERQUE - 0.4 in.
• 8 SW ALBUQUERQUE - 0.3 in.
• 7 W SANDIA PARK - 0.3 in.
• 8 NNW OMEGA - 0.3 in.
• 5 ESE ALBUQUERQUE - 0.3 in.
• 4 NE ALBUQUERQUE - 0.2 in.
• null SAN ANTONIO - 0.2 in.
• 5 E ALBUQUERQUE - 0.2 in.
• 7 ESE KENNA - 0.2 in.
• 4 NW CARNUEL - 0.2 in.
• 3 NE ALBUQUERQUE - T in.
• 6 ENE ALBUQUERQUE - T in.
• null CHAMA - T in.
• 5 E ALBUQUERQUE - T in.
• 5 NW ALBUQUERQUE - T in.
• 7 E ALBUQUERQUE - T in.

Last updated:

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