MIRROR: JUAN O SAVIN "IMPORTANT UPDATE" ON THE JABBER ROO

Dr. Ardis-Which Is More Deadly… Covid or the Hospitals? | Flyover Conservatives

Significant Risk For Severe Thunderstorms In SE New Mexico Today Into Tonight.

5-15-2021
A Steel Tower & A Cumlonimbus Tower.
Looking Southwest From Lakewood Towards Carlsbad Caverns.

 Day 1 (Today) Severe Weather Outlook.




Severe Thunderstorms Today Into Tonight.

All of the necessary parameters for severe thunderstorms to erupt over Southeastern New Mexico and nearby areas today into tonight are in place. Scattered thunderstorms will develop by around noontime (if not before in some areas) and increase in coverage and intensity as the afternoon wears on. Some of them will be severe.

Low level southeasterly upslope flow has imported rich Gulf of Mexico moisture (dew points in the 60's locally) into the area overnight. Mid-level lapse rates are forecast to be around 7.5 c/km to 8.5 c/km, surface-based cape values are forecast to be around 2500 to 3000 j/kg, bulk wind shear values (surface to 6km) are forecast to be around 40 to 50 knots, thus the atmosphere over the local area will be very unstable today into tonight.

Supercell thunderstorms are likely. Large to very large hail (maybe golf ball size or larger) will be possible along with damaging thunderstorm winds gusts in excess of 60 mph. Frequent deadly lightning will also occur with any thunderstorm that develops. Locally heavy rainfall could also produce localized flash flooding.

A few tornadoes are also possible with any Supercell thunderstorm. Area residents are advised to be weather-aware today with your situational awareness in a heightened state when thunderstorms develop. As of 8:45 AM MDT, this Saturday morning radar is already showing a thunderstorm with a hail core in southeastern Chaves County. 

Remember to have multiple ways available to receive severe weather alerts. Many of you will be attending outdoor sporting events, picnics, fishing trips, camping trips, etc. Be especially aware of changing weather conditions and ready to seek shelter immediately if a storm approaches your location.

Remember: When thunder roars...go indoors. If you can hear thunder then you are close enough to the thunderstorm to be struck by its lightning. Turn Around...Don't drown.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Comments

National Hurricane Center.

2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM 24-Hour Temp Graph

2.1 Downtown Carlsbad, NM 7-Day Temp Graph

My Current Davis Vantage Pro Plus Weather

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussions

NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC)

NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC)
Current Watches In Effect

Storm Prediction Center

Storm Prediction Center
Severe Weather Outlooks/Watches - Click On The Map To Open It.

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map
Click On The Map To Go To The Live Link.

NWS 12-Hour Surface Map Forecast

NWS 12-Hour Surface Map Forecast
Click On The Map To Open It Up.

Eddy County Watches & Warnings

Lea County Watches & Warnings

Culberson County - Guadalupe Mtn's Watches & Warnings

NWS Midland Web Page

NWS Midland Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

Chaves County Watches & Warnings

Lincoln County Watches & Warnings

NWS Albuquerque Web Page

NWS Albuquerque Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecasts.

Otero County Watches & Warnings

NWS El Paso Web Page

NWS El Paso Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS El Paso/Santa Teresa Regional Forecasts.

NWS Lubbock Web Page

NWS Lubbock Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecasts.