A Bit Of A Break - Maybe Some T-Storms This 4th Of July Weekend.

June 23, 2023.

Seven Rivers, New Mexico

Preliminary Reported High Temperatures.

Southeastern Plains.

Sacramento/Guadalupe Mountains.

West Texas.

Three times over the past two weeks I've reached 110º here at our home in Carlsbad. The Roswell Airport ASOS has so far reported the highest temperature during this ongoing heat wave with a reading of 112º yesterday (Tuesday). 

Up to date daily climate data for the Ruidoso Climate Co-Op Station is not yet available online. They did record a high temp of 90º on Saturday. The Smokey Bear Raws recorded a high of 94º on Monday. While the Cloudcroft Climate Co-Op Station recorded a high of 84º yesterday. The Mountain Park Climate Co-Op Station recorded a high of 92º yesterday. And the Mayhill Raws recorded a high of 94º yesterday. A Personal Weather Station (PWS) in Timberon recorded a high temp of 91º yesterday.

So far the Roswell Airport ASOS has recorded 114 days in a row with daily high temps of 100º or higher. The Carlsbad Airport ASOS has recorded 15 days in a row with high temps of 100º or higher. The Artesia Climate Co-Op Station has recorded 11 days in a row with high temps of 100º or higher.

Roswell's record for the greatest number of days in a row at or above 100º is 20 days: From July 9th - July 22nd, 2022.

Artesia's record for the greatest number of days in a row at or above 100º is 23 days: From July 4th - July 26th, 2016.

Carlsbad's record for the greatest number of days in a row  at or above 100º is 20 days: From June 25th - July 14th, 1965. 

Climate and temperature data is courtesy of: Albuquerque NWS Office, Midland/Odessa NWS Office, El Paso NWS Office, ACIS, New Mexico MesoWest, Texas MesoWest.

6-10 Day Temperature/Precipitation Outlook.

8-14 Day Temperature/Precipitation Outlook.

Weather Prediction Center (WPC) 

7-Day Total Precipitation Forecast.

Some Relief This Holiday Weekend?

A shift in the upper air pattern with the mid/upper level death ridge of high pressure shifting to east Texas as this week progresses.Then recentering/rebuilding over southern Arizona and northwestern Mexico just in time for the 4th of July. This should allow our daily high temperatures across the southeastern plains to gradually drop each day going into this upcoming holiday weekend. If we are lucky we may even see highs below 100º (upper 90's).

For the first of next week including the 4th the models are arguing whether or not the triple digit heat will return. My bet is yes it will but not as bad as what we are currently enduring. Lets hope anyway.

Limited mid-level moisture should work its way northward into the area this weekend giving all of us at least a chance for a few thunderstorms. Nothing to write home about but its better than what we have been enduring. A few high based mostly dry thunderstorms will dot the mountains today and Thursday as well. Long range forecasts offer little hope for long term relief from the heat and drought over the next two weeks.

There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.