Continued Hot With Widely Scattered To Scattered T-Storms - Some Severe!
C-Hill - Looking Northeast Over Carlsbad.
A dry microburst from a nearby thunderstorm produced areas of blowing dust across Carlsbad Thursday afternoon. A few sprinkles of rain accompanied the blowing dust caused by the overhead virga and dry thunderstorm.
Blog Updated At 12:25 PM MDT Friday, June 30, 2023.
(Midnight Thursday, June 29, 2023).
Valid At 6 AM MDT Saturday Morning.
(As Of 7 AM MDT Friday Morning).
T-Storms - Some Severe Today & Saturday.
Our mid-level death ridge of high pressure has finally weakened and moved east of the area and late last night was centered off of the Texas and Louisiana central Gulf coasts. A secondary mid-level ridge of high pressure was organizing along the central California coast. In between these two high pressure centers is a mid-level shortwave trough of low pressure. This short wave will swing eastward across central and northern New Mexico today into Saturday.
Southwesterly flow aloft is importing mid-level moisture into New Mexico and the area from northern Mexico. This will continue into the upcoming holiday weekend. Meanwhile at the surface a weak cold front will work its way into far northeastern New Mexico late this afternoon and continue southward overnight into Saturday morning.
All of these factors will combine to destabilize and moisten up the atmosphere over the eastern one half of New Mexico today into the holiday weekend.Widely scattered to scattered afternoon thunderstorms are forecast to develop today and continue into tonight in these areas...especially east of the mountains across the northeastern, eastern, and southeastern plains. Wash and repeat again on Saturday and Sunday.
Far northeastern New Mexico is under the Slight Risk category for severe thunderstorms today into this evening. While the parts of the eastern and southeastern plains are in the Marginal Risk category today into this evening. The main severe weather threats will be large hail and damaging thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 60 mph. Saturday will see more widespread activity across the plains but as of this Friday morning this area is only in the Marginal Risk category. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible with the strongest thunderstorms along with localized flash flooding.
Given that many folks will begin their 4th of July holiday celebrations outdoors today continuing into this weekend, it would be wise to be on the lookout for deadly cloud to ground lightning strikes. These will be a concern with any thunderstorm that develops across the state and nearby areas.
A lot of folks have outdoor activities scheduled/planned today into the 4th of July. Keep an eye on the sky, and your local forecasts, and be ready to seek shelter if and when a thunderstorm approaches your location.
When thunder roars go indoors!
There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.