Hot Weekend!
RUC 500 MB Analysis At Noon Today.
A deep upper-level low pressure trough was centered over the Great Lakes Region at noon today. Meanwhile our old summer nemesis, the sprawling Western upper-level ridge of high pressure, was centered near Reno, Nevada. The ridge will dominate our weather over the weekend.
Forecast High Temp Map Valid For Sunday.
Record High Temps For Sunday Sept 25th-
Roswell 97 in 2005+
Artesia 100 in 1953
Carlsbad Climate 100 in 1953
Carlsbad Arpt 102 in 2005
Hobbs Climate 99 in 1951
Tatum Climate 96 in 1939
After a brief cool down yesterday and today, a hot weekend is on tap for SE NM. High temps are forecast to climb up to near 95 tomorrow, and will range from 95 -100 on Sunday. A few daily record high temps may be tied or broken across the local area on Sunday.
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Major Hurricane Hilary.
Visible Satellite Image Of Cat. 4 Hurricane Hilary At 2:15 PM MDT.
At 1 PM MDT today, Category 4 Hurricane Hilary was located about 130 miles SSW of Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico. Hilary is moving off to the west at 8 mph. She has sustained winds of 145 mph with gusts near 175 mph. Her central pressure was down to 942 millibars, or 27.82 inches of mercury. Hilary has a 15 nm diameter eye.
NHC Forecast Track Of Hilary.
GFDL Model Forecast Track Of Hilary.
The million dollar question for late next week is whether or not a Western US trough of low pressure, will pull the remnant moisture of Hurricane Hilary northward into the Desert Southwest. Its too early to know for sure. Stay tuned.
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!
I hope this Hilary comes up to N Chihuahua, and stalls, spinning copious soaking rains into the SW deserts, including Abq, Carlsbad, etc. If beggars can be choosers!
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