Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Strong Cold Front - T-Storms/Rain Wed-Thu.

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Strong Cold Front Invades SE NM & W TX Wednesday.


Cold Front Wednesday Aftrn Brings Big Changes To Our Local Weather.

Not too much has changed in the overall thinking concerning the significant changes in our local weather that will begin tomorrow. A strong fall-like cold front is still on track to barrel southward down the eastern plains of the state tomorrow, and will arrive in SE NM sometime tomorrow afternoon or evening. As I stated yesterday, much cooler air will invade the local area tomorrow night into Thursday behind the front.

High temperatures are forecast to range from near 90 ahead of the front tomorrow, to the 60’s and 70’s behind the front on Thursday. Clouds will be on the increase across the area tomorrow ahead of the front, and scattered to numerous rain showers and t-storms will
break out across the area tomorrow afternoon. They will likely persist into Thursday evening.
Our chances for measurable rain have been bumped up to the 40% - 50% range tomorrow afternoon into Thursday evening. Thursday could turn out to be overcast, windy, and cool, with pockets of rain and t-storms.

Although a widespread severe weather event is currently not anticipated tomorrow, severe weather will still be possible. A few scattered severe t-storms still remain a possibility across E-SE NM, and parts of W TX tomorrow afternoon and evening. The details of this are still a little muddy concerning just who may get the severe weather, if in fact it does develop.

Much of this will depend upon the timing of the cold front as it moves southward down the eastern plains and into SE NM. Large hail, damaging t-storm wind gusts, frequent deadly cloud to ground lightning, locally heavy rainfall along with localized flash flooding remain a possibility tomorrow afternoon and evening.

At this time spotter activation is not anticipated in SE NM or W TX, across the Midland NWS County Warning Area. However potters are urged to contact the Midland NWS Office with any reports of severe weather, heavy rainfall, or flash flooding that you may encounter tomorrow or Thursday.

Another email update will be sent tomorrow morning, and as always you can view the very latest details concerning our local weather on my web page.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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