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Thursday, February 16, 2012

Next Winter Storm Inbound With Rain & Snow.


Blog updated at 8:08 PM MST.

Mid and high level clouds will continue to increase today ahead of a stout mid-upper level storm that is located over southern California this morning. Our afternoon highs this afternoon will range from 55-60 across the southeastern plains.

Tonight Into Saturday.

(Today - Next Tuesday.)

Update- The Winter Storm Watch for Lincoln County has been upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning, which will be in effect from 9 PM tonight through 6 PM MST Friday evening. Snowfall totals of 5" - 10" are forecast above 7,500', with the snow level lowering to 6,500' late tonight into Friday.

The Winter Storm Watch for Otero County has been upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning, which will go into effect from 6 PM tonight through midnight Friday night. New snowfall totals of 7" - 14" are forecast above about 6,500' to 7,000'.

A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for the Sandia/Manzano Mountains, the Central Highlands, Estancia Valley, and parts of the eastern plains including De Baca, Guadalupe, and Quay counties, and will be in effect from 1 AM through 6 PM MST Friday. 

Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms are forecast to increase with time throughout tonight across southeastern New Mexico. 


Clouds will continue to thicken tonight as the storm to our west deepens and digs a little further to the south. This storm continues to give the models fits concerning its track and speed over the next couple of days. The general consensus is that it will dig into the northern Baja, Region later tonight, and then begin a slowly eastward drift through Saturday morning.

Scattered rain showers are forecast to break out over the area tonight and continue into Friday. Areas of a steady cold rain may develop with the potential of around .50" for most locations. Some spots could even pick up greater amounts by the time this storm is all said and done. Our chances for seeing measurable rainfall have been raised to 50% - 70% from tonight into Friday.

Rain is forecast to mix with snow later Friday night into early Saturday morning across the lower elevations of SE NM. At this time there does not appear to be a significant threat for accumulating snowfall across most of the lower elevations of the area. However, this may potentially change given the uncertainties within the computer forecast models concerning this next winter storm that is approaching the local area.

A Winter Storm Watch has been issued for the northern Sacramento Mountains including the Ruidoso area for later this evening into Friday afternoon. Heavy snow is forecast with 4" forecast for elevations below 7,500', and 8"+ above 7,500'

A Winter Storm Watch has been issued for the southern Sacramento Mountains including the Cloudcroft, Mayhill, Mountain Park/High Rolls, Sacramento/Weed, Timberon/Pinon areas for later this evening through Friday evening. Heavy snow is forecast with 7" - 12" forecast above 6,500' - 7,000'.

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