Valid @ Noon MDT Saturday.
Not much has changed in the overall thinking concerning our local weather. A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for northeastern, eastern, and parts of southeastern New Mexico from this afternoon into late tonight. Our chances for rain will continue to increase today into tomorrow night.
As the cold front which is currently draped across northeastern New Mexico drifts slowly southward today into tomorrow morning a large complex of thunderstorms is forecast to develop along and behind the front in northeastern New Mexico this afternoon. This complex of storms will move southward tonight and into southeastern New Mexico. Thunderstorms with heavy rainfall will produce rainfall rates of 1" to 2" per hour within this complex. Therefore flash flooding will be a concern in these areas.
Ahead of the front it will be hot and muggy in southeastern New Mexico with our afternoon highs in the mid-upper 90's. Our temps will cool down some 10 to 20 degrees below normal on Saturday behind the front with highs ranging from 70's to the mid 80's. Our chances for rain continue into Saturday night. Some of us may pick up storm total rainfall amounts of over 2" by Monday.
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!