Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Miserably Hot Weather Coming Up - Record Heat Possible!


July 4th, 2020.
Thunderstorm Over Guadalupe Peak.
Looking Southwest From Carlsbad, New Mexico.


Past 24-Hours.
(As Of 6 AM MDT Sunday, July 5, 2020).


Past 3-Days.
(As Of 6 AM MDT Sunday, July 5, 2020).



(As Of 9 AM MDT Sunday, July 5, 2020).



     As expected scattered late afternoon and overnight thunderstorms have popped up each day over the past three days. Looking at the reported rainfall totals above most of us have been left high and dry. But some of you who have managed to get a storm or two have done pretty well. A CoCoRaHS Rainfall Observer located southeast of Santa Rosa measured 1.78" of rainfall overnight. The Dog Canyon Raws measured 1.06" of rainfall during yesterday's early afternoon thunderstorm (picture above). So far over the past three days northeastern and eastern New Mexico as well as northern Chaves County have received the most rain.

Hit & Miss Thunderstorms - A Few Marginally Severe.



     Northwesterly flow aloft will once again steer thunderstorms to the southeast off of the mountains and northeastern and eastern plains this afternoon into late tonight. Some of these will be Marginally Severe with the main threat being damaging thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 60 mph. Some hail may also occur with a few of these storms. Locally heavy rain may also accompany the stronger longer-lasting storms. Deadly cloud to ground lightning will occur with any thunderstorm so remember...when thunder roars go indoors.


Many Record High Temps May Be In Danger Of Being Broken.


Update From This Mornings 12Z (6 AM MDT ECMWF Model Run).


     WOW! This morning's run of the European forecast model (ECMWF) is even hotter next week with our high temps in New Mexico. For Roswell, Artesia, and Carlsbad it is calling for highs of 110º starting a week from today (next Sunday) with 114º a week from tomorrow. 

Valid Monday, July 13, 2020.

     Should the European forecast model (ECMWF) turn out to be correct we may be looking at a major heatwave over New Mexico and the area next week into the following week. Daily record high temperatures could be in danger of being broken as well as some July record highs. You have to use caution with the models when looking this far out but both the ECMWF and the GFS do agree for now that it's going to get miserably hot next week.

 Note the forecast high temperatures of 112º in the Pecos Valley with temperatures in the Sacramento Mountains ranging from near 90º at Cloudcroft (8,750') to 101º at the Sierra Blanca Regional Airport northeast of Ruidoso (6,759").
















The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Comments

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112
WHEN WILL THE NEXT CME ARRIVE? A magnetic filament in the sun's southrn hemisphere erupted on Oct. 4th, hurling part of itself into space. The emerging CME will pass mostly to the south of our planet, but a fraction could graze Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 8th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for minor geomagnetic storms and auroras on that date.

NWS Forecast High Temps Today

NWS Forecast Low Temps Tonight

NWS Storm Total Precipitation Forecast

NWS Total Snowfall Forecast

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures

NWS Midland Twitter

NWS Albuquerque Twitter

NWS El Paso Twitter

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map
Click On The Map To Go To The Live Link.

SPC Current Watches In Effect

SPC Mesoscale Discussions

SPC Day -1 Severe Weather Outlook

Regional Radar

National Hurricane Center - Atlantic

NWS Midland Web Page

NWS Midland Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Midland Radar

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Web Page

NWS Albuquerque Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

Cannon AFB Radar

NWS Albuquerque Radar

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecasts.

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS El Paso Web Page

NWS El Paso Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS El Paso Radar

Holloman AFB Radar

NWS El Paso Regional Forecasts.

NWS Lubbock Web Page

NWS Lubbock Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Lubbock Radar

Lubbock Regional Forecast

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecasts.

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecast

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecast
Average First Freeze

10-6-2022: NINO RODRIGUEZ & KERRY CASSIDY: A CONVERSATION

10-4-2022: Meri Interviews Juan O. Savin With Intel On President Trump, Russia, And The Elections

10-4-2022: JUAN O'SAVIN W/ MAJOR INTEL ON UPCOMING WARGAMING OF MID-TERMS W/ DAVID NINO RODRIGUEZ

10-4-2022: Derek Johnson & Michael Jaco SHOCKING News

10-3-2022: Tucker Carlson: Biden is responsible for this destruction in Europe