Current Date & Time

Fall Freeze Data For New Mexico

Quick Hitting Winter Storm Reminds Us Its Really Not Spring Yet.

February 18, 2022.
Sierra Blanca Peak.
Looking East From Three Rivers, NM. 

Another Quick Punch From Winter.


Valid At 5 PM MST Thursday Afternoon.

Valid At 5 AM MST Friday Morning.

An arctic cold front has stalled (become stationary) across Southeastern New Mexico this afternoon. This front will move southward and out of the state this evening. A much colder airmass lies to our north behind the front. Denver, Colorado set a new record low temperature for the day this morning with a reading of -7ºF. This beat the previous record low for the date of -3ºF set in 1932. This was the coldest temperature observed in March in Denver since 1960.

As of 4 PM MST regional temperatures range from 21ºF in Clayton with a wind chill of 8ºF to 37ºF in Clovis, 55ºF in Roswell and Hobbs, 59ºF in Artesia, 62ºF in Carlsbad. It was 56ºF in Mayhill, 50ºF in Ruidoso and Timberon, and 43ºF in Cloudcroft.


Friday.



Saturday.



Late Tonight Into Friday Morning.



Turning Colder Tonight.

Colder air will work its way southward and westward through the local area tonight behind the frontal boundary. Low temperatures Friday morning are expected to be in the low 20's across the Southeastern Plains and in the Queen area of the Guadalupe Mountains. Lows across Eastern New Mexico in the Clovis and Portales areas will be in the mid-teens, as will lows across the Sacramento Mountains. 

Wind chill temperatures late tonight into Friday morning are going to get your attention. Wind chill temperatures are forecast to drop down to as low as around 5ºF to 10ºF over the Southeastern Plains. The Clovis and Portales area will see wind chill temperatures as low as -5ºF. Wind chill temperatures across the Sacramento Mountains will range from 5ºF to -5ºF. Northeasterly winds will shift around to easterly and southeasterly late tonight and will gust up to around the 25-40 mph range.

Snow Begins Later Tonight.

(Valid Tonight Through 5 PM MST Friday).



National Blend Of Models Storm Total Snowfall Forecasts.
(Valid Tonight Through 5 PM MST Friday).

National Weather Service Storm Total Snowfall Forecasts.





Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for the northern New Mexico Mountains. Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for the western, northern, and eastern half of New Mexico including Chaves, Lincoln, and the Sacramento Mountains of Otero County. A Winter Weather Advisory is also in effect for the Guadalupe Mountains of New Mexico and West Texas.

As the mid-upper level trough of low pressure dives southward into New Mexico snow will continue to spread south and east. Current forecasts have the heaviest snows falling over the northern New Mexico Mountains, the Northeastern Plains, and the Sacramento Mountains of South-Central New Mexico.

Cloudcroft, Ski Apache, Sunspot, Silver Lake areas are looking at 4" to 6" of new snow late tonight into Friday. The northern mountains of the state are expecting anywhere from 6" to 12" with the Northeastern Plains getting 3" to 4" and the Clovis and Portales areas getting 1" to 2". The Ruidoso, Capitan, and Nogal areas are expecting to get 3" to 4".

Across the Southeastern Plains, we are expecting to see 1" to 2" fall in the Roswell and Artesia areas and a half of an inch or so in the Carlsbad and Hobbs areas. Across the foothills and lower elevations of the Capitan and Sacramento Mountains snowfall totals of 1" to 3" are possible.

Snow isn't forecast to start across the Southeastern Plains until around sunrise Friday morning. Snow should begin across the northern Sacramento Mountains around midnight and then spread southward and eastward.

As with any winter storm dumping snow on the area, there may be some locations that have more snow than is currently forecast and some less. The convective banding of snow will be the root cause of this. Snow should end across the state and with clearing skies and fresh snow on the ground, Saturday morning's lows are going to be cold.

 A few locations over the northern mountains will see subzero lows with single-digit lows common across western and northern New Mexico.

The teens are forecast for the Eastern and Southeastern Plains. The Sacramento Mountains will drop down into the single digits and teens. 

This will be a quick-hitting storm with a rapid warm-up commencing Saturday afternoon into next week. Highs over the Southeastern Plains on Saturday are forecast to be in the 60's with the 70's expected on Sunday.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Comments

  1. 2.8” of snow with water equivalent of 0.21”. Posted in Cocorahs. Thanks for your weather assessments. They are excellent!

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Your comments, questions, and feedback on this post/web page are welcome.

My Blog Archive List (July 2010 - August 2025).

Show more

My Current Weather Conditions

MY CoCoRaHS Precipitation Data

NWS Albuquerque 2026 Winter Outlook (Updated Nov 3rd).

NWS Midland Web Page

NWS Midland Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

SE New Mexico & West Texas Precipitation Forecasts

Eddy County

Guadalupe Mtns Eddy & Culberson County

Lea County

NWS Midland Hazardous Weather Outlook

NWS Midland Hazardous Weather Outlook
Click On The Image To See The Rest Of The Outlooks

NWS Midland Hazardous Weather Outlook

NWS Midland Hazardous Weather Outlook

NWS Midland Hazardous Weather Outlook

NWS Midland Hazardous Weather Outlook
Click On The Image To See The Rest Of The Outlooks

NWS Midland Forecast High Temperatures Today

NWS Midland Forecast Low Temperatures Tonight

NWS Midland Peak Wind Gust Forecast

NWS Midland Forecast Graphic

NWS Midland Forecast Graphic
Rain chances will increase from west to east over our area Friday evening through early Saturday morning ahead of an approaching upper level system. Rain showers may linger over eastern portions of our region into the day Saturday. Locally heavy rainfall may result in minor flooding or ponding of water in urban and low lying areas, but the overall risk of flash flooding remains very limited.

NWS Albuquerque Web Page

NWS Albuquerque Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Albuquerque New Mexico Precipitation Forecasts

New Mexico

Chaves County Plains & Mtn's

Lincoln County

NWS Albuquerque Hazardous Weather Outlook

NWS Albuquerque Hazardous Weather Outlook

NWS Albuquerque Forecast High Temperatures Today

NWS Albuquerque Forecast Low Temperatures Tonight

NWS Albuquerque Wind Chill Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Peak Wind Gust Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Graphic Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Graphic Forecast
Showers with embedded thunderstorms enter southwestern NM this afternoon, spreading to more of eastern and northern NM tonight into Saturday morning. Some storms will produce gusty winds and brief moderate rainfall.

NWS Albuquerque Graphic Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Graphic Forecast
Valley rain and mountain snow spread over the northern mountains with rain and storms favoring the eastern plains through much of the day Saturday.

NWS Albuquerque Graphic Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Graphic Forecast
Snow above 9,000' will generally range 2-6 inches with locally higher amounts up to 8 inches atop the peaks. Slick winter travel will favor the U.S. 64 corridor through the Tusas Mts.

NWS Albuquerque Forecast Grpahics

NWS Albuquerque Forecast Grpahics
Cooler and wetter weather late today through the weekend. Calmer weather returns late Sunday through Monday before the next storm system looks to clip northwestern NM Tuesday.

NWS El Paso Web Page

Southern New Mexico & Far West Texas Precipitation Forecasts

Texas

Otero County

NWS El Paso Hazardous Weather Outlook

NWS El Paso Hazardous Weather Outlook
Click On The Image To See The Rest Of The Outlooks

NWS El Paso Hazardous Weather Outlook

NWS El Paso Hazardous Weather Outlook
Click On The Image To See The Rest Of The Outlooks

NWS El Paso Forecast High Temperatures Today

NWS El Paso Forecast Low Temperatures Tonight

NWS El Paso Wind Chill Forecast

NWS El Paso Peak Wind Gust Forecast

NWS El Paso Graphic Forecast

NWS El Paso Graphic Forecast
A Pacific storm system rapidly moves across Arizona and southern New Mexico in the afternoon and night of Friday. Highest rainfall is expected east of the Rio Grande Valley.

NWS El Paso Graphic Forecast

NWS El Paso Graphic Forecast
Showers will begin in the west Friday afternoon and spread east through the evening. Highest rainfall amounts likely from the Rio Grande Valley east. A few thunderstorms also possible.

NWS El Paso Graphic Forecast

NWS Lubbock Web Page

NWS Lubbock Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Lubbock Hazardous Weather Outlook

NWS Lubbock Hazardous Weather Outlook
Click On The Image To See The Rest Of The Outlooks

NWS Lubbock Hazardous Weather Outlook

NWS Lubbock Hazardous Weather Outlook
Click On The Image To See The Rest Of The Outlooks

NWS Lubbock South Plains Precipitation Forecasts

NWS Lubbock Hi Temperature Forecast Today

NWS Lubbock Low Temperature Forecast Tomight

NWS Lubbock Graphic Forecast

NWS Lubbock Graphic Forecast
Today will start off mostly with highs in the 60s. Clouds will increase tonight along with rain chances with lows in the 40s.

NWS Lubbock Graphic Forecast

NWS Lubbock Graphic Forecast
Cloudy, cool, and rainy conditions are expected across the region Saturday through Saturday night. The highest rain chances will generally be off the Caprock after 6 PM on Saturday evening. Some locally heavy rain is possible, but widespread flooding is not expected.

NWS Lubbock Graphic Forecast

NWS Lubbock Graphic Forecast
Precipitation chances return Friday night through Sunday, with the best chances being Saturday night. Severe storms are not expected, but rainfall amounts over an inch are possible (20-40% chance) off the Caprock. Cooler conditions are expected at the start of next week, when highs may only be in the low 50s.

My Rainfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Rainfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Seasonal Snowfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Seasonal Snowfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

Disclaimer

This blog and its contents are for informational purposes only! Always have multiple sources of information available to rely upon during severe weather. Do not rely solely on the Internet. Be weather-aware, plan ahead, have a backup plan, and be ready to act before severe weather strikes your location.