Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Finally A Warming Trend.

2-2-2011
KE5WLM
Carlsbad, NM

Last Cold Morning - Warming Trend On The Way.

We can expect to see a gradual warming trend commence
across the area today into the middle of next week. By Saturday we 
ought to be in the 60's, and Sunday will be in the low 70's
Believe it or not but by around next Tue - Wed we may be near 80.

Some Thoughts About Our Brutal Arctic Outbreaks.

I think that a lot of us will remember the past couple of weeks for a long time to come. I can't count the number of stories I have heard about broken water pipes and related stories across SE NM. The Roswell Airport bottomed out at -11F on Friday, Feb 4, 2011. The Artesia Climate Coop Station recorded a low of -9F, the Artesia Airport -6F, the Carlsbad Airport -4F. I have been told by some of my friends that it was -11F in Hagerman, and -13F in Cottonwood just north of Artesia. These were the coldest low temperatures that we have seen in the Pecos Valley since December 1987 when it was -13F in Artesia, and Lakewood. We saw some of the coldest daytime high temperatures that we have seen since 1983, and in a few cases  some of the coldest ever recorded.

Ruidoso set a new all time record low temp of -27F on the morning of Thursday ,February 3, 2011. Dry Canyon located just east of Cloudcroft also recorded a low of -27F. Elk which is located just east of Mayhill, recorded a low of -24F. The lowest temperature locally that I have been able to find so far, was the -31F recorded at the Roswell Portable #1 Raws near Fort Stanton. 

I have talked about the Pacific Ocean switching over to a Cold PDO phase before, and I want to bring this up again, because I think that we are going to see a long-range pattern change in our weather over the next 20 - 30 years. Our last Cold PDO occurred from the late 1940's through the late 1970's. Some of our worst winters here in SE NM, as well as across the rest of the state, occurred during this time frame. The state's lowest temperature was recorded at Gavilan on Feb 1, 1951 with a reading of -50F.

I think that when you combine a Cold PDO, the unusually low sunspot cycle, and the recent volcanic activity we have seen the past couple of years, then there is the potential for the next several winters to be very cold across the nation. Watch AccuWeather Meteorologist Joe Bastardi's latest video concerning this topic- "Why We Need All Energy Sources. The Facts Of The Weather."

Am I saying that every winter in SE NM will be brutally cold for the next 30 years...no, of course not. But overall I think that we will see colder winters in the coming years than what we have seen for the past  thirty years. I also think overall that our climate will be drier the next 20 -30 years than it has been for the past 30 years. We have seen some pretty stout outbreaks of arctic air impact that state this winter, especially northern New Mexico this winter, and recently southeastern New Mexico. I think that the overall trend is downward concerning our winter temperatures.This is just my own personal opinion, but I think that it bears watching.

This was just a little reminder of what some of our past winters have been like. Remember Artesia's all time record low is -35F set on Feb 8, 1933. Roswell fell to -29F on Feb 13, 1905. And don't forget about Jan 1962 when Carlsbad recorded it's all time lowest temp of -18F, Artesia was -20F, and Roswell -24F

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Comments

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112
WHEN WILL THE NEXT CME ARRIVE? A magnetic filament in the sun's southrn hemisphere erupted on Oct. 4th, hurling part of itself into space. The emerging CME will pass mostly to the south of our planet, but a fraction could graze Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 8th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for minor geomagnetic storms and auroras on that date.

NWS Forecast High Temps Today

NWS Forecast Low Temps Tonight

NWS Storm Total Precipitation Forecast

NWS Total Snowfall Forecast

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures

NWS Midland Twitter

NWS Albuquerque Twitter

NWS El Paso Twitter

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map
Click On The Map To Go To The Live Link.

SPC Current Watches In Effect

SPC Mesoscale Discussions

SPC Day -1 Severe Weather Outlook

Regional Radar

National Hurricane Center - Atlantic

NWS Midland Web Page

NWS Midland Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Midland Radar

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Web Page

NWS Albuquerque Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

Cannon AFB Radar

NWS Albuquerque Radar

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecasts.

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS El Paso Web Page

NWS El Paso Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS El Paso Radar

Holloman AFB Radar

NWS El Paso Regional Forecasts.

NWS Lubbock Web Page

NWS Lubbock Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Lubbock Radar

Lubbock Regional Forecast

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecast

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecast
Average First Freeze

10-6-2022: NINO RODRIGUEZ & KERRY CASSIDY: A CONVERSATION

10-4-2022: Meri Interviews Juan O. Savin With Intel On President Trump, Russia, And The Elections

10-4-2022: JUAN O'SAVIN W/ MAJOR INTEL ON UPCOMING WARGAMING OF MID-TERMS W/ DAVID NINO RODRIGUEZ

10-4-2022: Derek Johnson & Michael Jaco SHOCKING News

10-3-2022: Tucker Carlson: Biden is responsible for this destruction in Europe