Current Conditions 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Warm & Dry Weekend.

Roswell, NM Sunset 2-5-2011.

Really there isn't much to talk about concerning our local weather for a change. An upper-level ridge of high pressure will dominate our weather this weekend into next week. This will help keep the storm track away from New Mexico through mid-week.

Our afternoon high temperatures continue to warm about ten degrees every day. We can expect to see the mid 60's today, and the low-mid 70's Sunday and Monday. Tuesday into Thursday looks to be unusually warm, with our afternoon high temps climbing up to near 80 or into the low 80's.

A deep Western trough of low pressure will turn the flow aloft to southwesterly by Thursday. A deepening surface trough across the eastern plains, will help to tighten up the surface pressure gradient. So it appears that a possible high wind event is in store for the area by next Thursday along with heightened fire weather concerns.

The two long-range models, the US GFS and the European ECMWF, are hinting that our next bout with winter may come in about a week. The European model is the stronger of the two, and depicts a stronger upper-level storm to our west, while another invasion of arctic air slides down the eastern plains by next weekend.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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