Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Continued Unseasonably Warm & Breezy.



Low-Level Gulf Of Mexico Moisture Will Pool East Of The
Dryline Tonight Across West Texas.

As An Upper-Level Disturbance Approaches From The West,
A Few Scattered T-Storms Will Fire Up Tonight Into Thursday Morning,
Along And East Of The Dryline.


SW Winds Will Increase Across SE NM Today At
Around 20-25G35 MPH. Our High Temps Will Be Near 80.
A Dry Pacific Cold Front Will Sweep Across SE NM Tonight.

Thursday Will Be Warm And Windy With SW Winds
Increasing To 25-30G40 MPH Across SE NM.
Our High Temps Will Range From The Low-Mid 70's.


The Seasons First Significant Severe Outbreak With

A Few Large And Damaging Tornadoes Will Be Possible
In/Near The Moderate Risk Area Depicted Above.


A Stronger Upper-Level Storm Will Sweep Across NM
Late This Upcoming Weekend. Very Strong Winds Aloft
(115-125 MPH At 500 MB/18,000') Will Mix Down To
The Surface, And Help Produce Very Windy Conditions

This Mornings GFS Surface Forecast Map For Noontime
Sunday Depicts A Very Deep Surface Low Over SE
Colorado. It Bottoms Out At 980 Millibars, Or
28.94" Of Mercury. A Very Tight Surface Pressure
Gradient Is Also Forecast Across E/SE NM.
Sustained Winds Of 30-40 Knots/35-45 MPH
Are Forecast For The Area.

A Potential Significant High Wind/Blowing Dust Event
Looks Possible For The Local Area This Weekend.
I Think There Is The Potential To See SW-W
Winds Gusts Of At Least 60-70 MPH Across SE NM,
And 100+ MPH Gusts in The Guadalupe's.
A Critically Dangerous Fire Weather Threat
Also Appears Likely!

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Comments

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112
WHEN WILL THE NEXT CME ARRIVE? A magnetic filament in the sun's southrn hemisphere erupted on Oct. 4th, hurling part of itself into space. The emerging CME will pass mostly to the south of our planet, but a fraction could graze Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 8th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for minor geomagnetic storms and auroras on that date.

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