Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Warm & Breezy Today - Windy Tomorrow.




Its that time of the year once again when strong storms dive southward out of the Pacific Northwest and into the Desert Southwest. One such storm is currently centered over northern Oregon and southern Washington this morning.

NAM 500 MB Forecast.
Valid At 9 PM MDT Tonight.

NAM 500 MB Forecast.
Valid At Noon Thursday.

This mid-level storm will continue sinking southward today, and should bottom out over central/southern California by tonight. It is then forecast to open up into a trough of low pressure and swing across northern New Mexico tomorrow.

Carlsbad, New Mexico.

Roswell, New Mexico.


WRF/NAM Forecast Temperatures At 3 PM MDT Thursday.


As this storm approaches New Mexico we can expect to see above normal temperatures here in the southeastern plains. Our forecast highs today and tomorrow in Roswell, Artesia, Carlsbad, and Hobbs are excepted to climb up into the mid-upper 60's, with a few of us possibly flirting with 90.

A Pacific cold front will pass through the area on Friday bringing cooler temps to the area this weekend. Our highs will range from the low-mid 80's on Saturday, to 75 - 80 on Sunday.

As is typical with any strong upper-level storm that passes to the north of us we can also expect to see our first wind event of the season. A High Wind Watch is in effect for Lincoln County and the Ruidoso area tomorrow for southwesterly to westerly winds sustained at around 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. A High Wind Warning is now in effect for the Cloudcroft area above 6,000' for southwesterly to westerly winds sustained at around 40 mph with gusts near 55 mph.

Southerly to Southwesterly winds will gust up to around 20 - 30 mph this afternoon across the southeastern plains, and most of us should see these winds gust up to around 25 - 40 mph tomorrow afternoon. 

A few isolated thunderstorms may fire up along the Texas/New Mexico state line tomorrow afternoon. Further to the north across the northern Panhandle of Texas and Oklahoma some of these may become severe.

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Dangerous Sunspot AR3112

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112
WHEN WILL THE NEXT CME ARRIVE? A magnetic filament in the sun's southrn hemisphere erupted on Oct. 4th, hurling part of itself into space. The emerging CME will pass mostly to the south of our planet, but a fraction could graze Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 8th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for minor geomagnetic storms and auroras on that date.

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