A strong cold was draped across northeastern New Mexico as of 11 AM MDT this morning. This front will move slowly south today and tonight, reaching southeastern New Mexico later tonight.
Today's high temps will be in the mid-upper 90's. Behind the cold front Tuesday's highs will be some 10-20 degrees below normal with most of us seeing highs in the 70's to 80's in eastern and southeastern New Mexico.
Scattered thunderstorms will increase in aerial coverage as the day wears on. These will become more numerous tonight into tomorrow as the cold front enters the area and interacts with the abundant moisture in place over the area. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible across the southeastern plains this afternoon into tomorrow night.
A few of the strong thunderstorms may produce rainfall rates of 1" - 2" per hour. Storm total rainfall amounts of 1"-3" will be possible across the area into Wednesday. this will be especially true over and near the mountains and in those areas covered by the Flash Flood Watch.
Although a severe weather outbreak is not currently forecast for the area some of the stronger thunderstorms may possibly become severe this afternoon into tonight. Damaging thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 58 mph, frequent cloud to ground lightning, locally heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding will be the main hazards.
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