Current Conditions 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

RUT ROW IS RIGHT- If This Mornings 12Z Model Forecasts Pan Out.


Blog Updated @ 3:11 PM MDT. 


No kidding "Rut Row" if this mornings 12Z run of the US GFS forecast model pans out. Trouble ahead this weekend into the first of the week from El Paso northeastward into southeastern New Mexico. Its forecasting 5" to 7" rainfall totals for the lowlands and 10+" for the Guadalupe, Sacramento, and Capitan Mountains. That would lead to a serious flash flood event!


Valid @ 6 AM MDT Tuesday, August 16, 2016.

(Storm Total Rainfall Amounts - Courtesy Of Pivotal Weather).

Valid @ 6 AM MDT Tuesday, August 16, 2016.

This graphic depicts two excessive rainfall bullseye's. One over the Queen area in the Guadalupe Mountains west of Carlsbad with a storm total by next Tuesday morning of 13.63". The second just south of Cloudcroft in the Sacramento Mountains with 14.54".

 Again its too early to try and pinpoint exactly where and how much the heaviest rains will be. But the current theme is "The Potential For Widespread Excessive Rainfall That May Lead To Flash Flooding" this weekend into early next week.

10-Day Temperature & Rainfall Forecasts.







The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Comments

Live Stream Cloudcroft Webcams

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map
Click On The Map To Go To The Live Link.

SPC Current Watches In Effect

SPC Mesoscale Discussions

SPC Day -1 Severe Weather Outlook

SPC Day-1 Fire Weather Outlook

Regional Radar

NWS Midland Web Page

NWS Midland Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

Eddy County

Lea County

Culberson County - Guadalupe Mtn's

NWS Albuquerque Web Page

NWS Albuquerque Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecasts.

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

Chaves County

Lincoln County

NWS El Paso Web Page

NWS El Paso Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS El Paso Regional Forecasts.

NWS El Paso Regional Forecast

NWS El Paso Regional Forecast

Otero County

NWS Lubbock Web Page

NWS Lubbock Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecasts.

Lubbock Regional Forecast

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecast

My Photo Slideshow

5-20-2022: JUAN O' SAVIN: MAJOR SITUATION UPDATE AND NASDAQ DECLINE

5-19-2022: Juan O' Savin & Sean Stone - Hold The Line Don't Lose Faith

5-17-2022: NINOS CORNER-Lara Logan - Americas Unrestricted Warfare

5-7-2022: Dinesh D'Souza 2000 Mules