Hurricane Ida Headed For Louisiana?

GeoColor Satellite Image.

12:31 PM MDT Friday, August 27, 2021.

RGB Sandwich Satellite Image.

12:31 PM MDT Friday, August 27, 2021.

BULLETIN
Hurricane Ida Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092021
200 PM EDT Fri Aug 27 2021

...IDA MAKES LANDFALL AS A HURRICANE ON THE ISLE OF YOUTH...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...21.6N 82.7W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM E OF THE CENTER OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH
ABOUT 145 MI...245 KM E OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

National Hurricane Center Updates.

NHC Forecast Track.

9 AM MDT Advisory.

Computer Model Ensemble Forecasts.

GEFS

EPS.

ATCF.

SFWMD.

Hurricane Ida strengthened from a Tropical Depression yesterday to a Category 1 Hurricane this morning. This morning's model forecast tracks indicate that she will slam into southern Louisiana between Sunday night and Monday morning. As with most hurricanes, predicting the exact location of her eventual landfall is still in doubt this far out in time. 

Computer Model Forecast Strength Near Landfall.

HWRF Forecast.

HMON Forecast.

This morning's computer model forecast runs of the HWRF and HMON models indicate that Ida will be a Major Hurricane (Cat 3-4) just before landfall sometime Sunday evening into Monday morning. This may change before actual landfall. There is a lot of talk in the weather world of Ida making landfall even stronger. 

ECMWF Wave Height Forecast.

Hurricane Ida has the potential to generate wave heights just offshore of southern Lousiana upwards of 73 feet before making landfall. This is according to this morning's ECMWF model forecast. If she comes ashore stronger than currently forecast these waves could be even higher.

Computer Model Rainfall Forecasts.

Hurricane Ida has the potential to cause Lousiana a lot of heartache and problems. The area between Morgan City and New Orleans looks to be ground zero for landfall at this time. Although this will likely change somewhat so keep abreast of all National Weather Service forecasts, updates, watches, and warnings. 

Local Products for Ida

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Local Statements are prepared by National Weather Service Weather Forecast Offices (WFO) giving specific details for their County Warning Area (CWA) on weather conditions, evacuation decisions made by local officials, and other precautions necessary to protect life and property.

On this page are links to the Local Statements that have been released within the last 8 hours, as well as links to the homepages of the issuing Weather Forecast Offices.

Issuing WFO Homepage	Local Impacts	Local Statement
New Orleans / Baton Rouge, LA	Threats and Impacts	412 PM CDT Fri Aug 27
Shreveport, LA	Threats and Impacts	413 PM CDT Fri Aug 27
Jackson, MS	Threats and Impacts	425 PM CDT Fri Aug 27
Lake Charles, LA	Threats and Impacts	427 PM CDT Fri Aug 27
Mobile, AL / Pensacola, FL	Threats and Impacts	445 PM CDT Fri Aug 27

These statements also available at weather.gov.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!