Three Winter Storms To Impact NM Today Through Next Monday.
Sierra Blanca Peak West Of Ruidoso.
Looking West From The Inn Of The Mountain Gods.
ECMWF 500 MB (18,000' MSL) Forcast.
Valid At 5 PM MST Friday.
Valid At 5 PM MST Saturday.
Valid Today Through Monday, February 12, 2024.
ECMWF Total Snowfall Forecast.
NWS NDFD Total Snowfall Forecast.
Rain & Snow For Western & Northern New Mexico Today.
Our El Nino freight train of winter storms continues to barrel eastward from across the eastern Pacific Ocean and into New Mexico. Three of these winter storms will impact New Mexico today, Friday, and late this weekend into early next week.
Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for much of western and northern New Mexico. The Sangre de Cristo Mountains are expecting to get 8" to 16" above 8,000' and 5" to 10" below 8,000'. The higher peaks may see up to two feet of new snowfall.
Across the lower elevations of western and northern New Mexico snowfall totals will range from 2" to 5" in the far Northwestern Highlands and Upper Rio Grande Valley. The Chuska and west-central mountains are expecting 1" to 3" across the lower elevations with 4" to 8" across the higher peaks.
A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for the Southern Gila Mountains, the Black Range until 3 PM MST this afternoon. 3" to 6" of new snow are forecast with 6" to 9" expected across the higher peaks.
A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for southern Sacramento Mountains above 7,500' until 5 PM MST this afternoon. New snowfall totals of 2" to 5" is forecast. As of 7 AM MST this Wednesday morning light snow was falling in the Cloudcroft area. A CoCoRaHS Station 2.3 miles south of Cloudcroft has already measured 1.5" of new snowfall. Heavy snow is falling at Ski Apache. They could get another 10" today. Snow levels today will drop down to around 7,000'.
Strong southwesterly to westerly winds gusting up into the 50 to 70 mph range will cause blowing and drifting snow in the warning and advisory areas today. This will add to the travel issues in these areas.
More Wind For Southern & Southeastern New Mexico Today.
A High Wind Warning remain in effect through 1 AM MST Thursday for the Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy and Culberson Counties. West winds are forecast to increase to sustained speeds of 35 to 45 mph with gusts near 75 mph later this morning.
Wind Advisories remain in effect for Eddy and Culberson Counties and parts of West Texas from 1 PM MST this afternoon through 8 PM MST tonight. West winds will increase to sustained speeds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts near 55 mph around noontime today.
Wind Advisories also remain in effect for the southern Sacramento Mountains, the northern Sacramento Mountains, and southern New Mexico, and most of northeastern and eastern New Mexico for today.
Local areas of blowing dust will suddenly reduce the visibility at times in our more dust prone locations such as: freshly plowed and cultivated farmlands, open or exposed fields, lots, and highway construction sites.
Two More Winter Storms Inbound.
A break will occur on Thursday for the state. Our second winter storm will impact western and northern New Mexico on Friday with more snow. This storm will be colder than today's storm so snow will fall at lower valley areas. Heavy snow will again impact the western and northern mountains.
The third and last winter storm is forecast to impact the state and local area Saturday into the first of next week. The models are already arguing over the exact track, speed, and strength of this storm. However they do agree that it will be the strongest and coldest of the three storms.
Last nights run of the ECMWF computer forecast model gets a little crazy with forecast snowfall totals and coverage. The other models don't agree with it at this time so it may be the outliner and wrong. At any rate make plans for much colder temps and a more widespread snow event this weekend into the first of next week. It's possible that we may even see some snow here in the southeastern plains with heavy snow in the Sacramento, Capitan, and Guadalupe Mountains.
There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.
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