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Rain & T-Storms Return To NM. High Mtn Snows Too.

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Temperatures @ 7 AM MDT This Morning.

A fast moving cold front entered the southeastern plains of New Mexico early this morning. With it came cooler temps with this afternoon highs ranging mostly in the low-mid 60's. Thursday will be a little warmer with highs in the 70's ahead of our next approaching storm from the west. Rain and thunderstorms return Thursday afternoon into Saturday morning.



Next Storm Affects The Area Thursday Night
 Into Saturday Morning.

GFS 500 MB Forecast.
Valid @ 6 AM MDT Friday.

ECMWF 500 MB Forecast.
Valid @ 6 AM MDT Friday.

A trough of low pressure at the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere currently located along the West Coast is forecast to deepen and strengthen as is dives southeastward tonight into Thursday. By Friday morning a closed 500 millibar low should be located just to our west, south of the Tucson area. This next storm is forecast to slide to the east and begin opening up as a trough of low pressure on Friday into Saturday.  

Rain & Scattered T-Storms Return.

NAM-WRF Storm Total Rainfall Forecast.
Valid @ 6 PM MDT Friday.

Another round of scattered thunderstorms and rain will impact the area Thursday afternoon into Saturday morning. The heaviest rains should fall Thursday night into Friday night. It appears that generally speaking that the southeastern plains will on average receive .25" to .75" of rainfall with a few spots perhaps getting heavier totals in the 1" to 2" range. Although severe thunderstorms are not currently anticipated a few of the stronger thunderstorms may produce small hail and gusty winds. The rains should come to an end by Saturday morning as the upper level storm begins to move northeastward out of the area.

Courtesy Of The Albuquerque NWS Office.

Snow levels are currently forecast to drop down to around 9,000' in the southern areas of the state and around 8,000' in the northern mountains by Friday night. Cloudcroft may see a rain and snow mix, possibly late Thursday night into Friday morning, and again Friday night. Ski Apache west of Ruidoso may pick up 3"-7" of the white stuff Thursday into Friday night. 

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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My Top 10 Most Popular Posts

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Blog Updated 9-19-2016 @ 6:31 PM MDT. Diane & I Chase A Monster Of A Supercell!  Saturday, Sept 17, 2016.  Courtesy Of Diane J. Malone. My Wife (Diane) And I Took Old Yo Crossing Rd. South Out Of Roswell And Finally Got Out In Front Of This Monster Of A Supercell Thunderstorm On St. Hwy 13. She Took This Photo Near Mile Marker 11. Pretty Much Describes Rural Southeastern New Mexico. 3:09 PM MDT: This Beast Had Multiple Wall Clouds That At Times Showed Slow Rotation And At Other Times Was Spinning Like A Top. This Was A Ground Hugger At Times As Well. Initially When This Storm Developed South Of Picacho It Was Showing A Northeastward Movement On Radar. That Didn't Last Long As It Intensified And Started Heading East Then Made A Right Turn (Right Mover) And Took Off To The Southeast. At Times Moving Southeastward At 15-20 MPH Then It Would Accelerating To 40 MPH.  3:47 PM MDT: We Are About 1 Mile West Of Hope In Western Eddy County On ...
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New Mexico This Coming Christmas Weekend? Those of us who live in New Mexico have developed a unique sense of humor when it comes to our weather. I've often said that we live in a place where extremes more often than not are normal. Take for example the rest of this weeks forecast for Carlsbad depicted below. Latest NWS Forecast For Carlsbad, New Mexico. My high temperature here at our home yesterday was 74°F. Contrast that to what's coming this weekend...depicted below. Its not unusual at all to have high temps in the 70's or even the 80's ahead of a strong winter storm locally. We saw this with the major snowstorms in December 1987, December 1997, and February 2011, and with other strong winter storms too. Long Range Model Forecasts On Weekend Storm. This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST European (ECMWF) 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Sunday, Dec 27, 2015. This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST U.S. GFS 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 11AM MST Sunday, Dec ...
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Blog Updated At 9:57 PM MST. Courtesy Of Glen Brazell. Shared On Twitter By Kerry Jones. Nearly 30" The Ground In Ruidoso, NM. Downtown Ruidoso, New Mexico. Ruidoso Web Cam Snapshot At 1:54 PM MST This Afternoon. National Weather Service Watches & Warnings In Effect. As Of 5 AM MST Friday, December 28, 2018. Click On This Link To Open Up The Latest Updated Map. Then Once The Map Opens Up, Click Anywhere On The Map To Be Re-directed To Your Area Of Interest. The NWS Office That Has Forecast And Warning Responsibility For That Location Will Have The Latest Weather Information Posted On Their Web Page. US GFS 500 Millibar (18,000') Analysis. Valid At 11 PM MST Thursday Evening. As of midnight last night a slow moving and powerful closed upper level low was located over northern Arizona. US GFS 500 Millibar (18,000') Forecast. Valid At 5 PM MST Today.  This winter storm is forecast to continue sinking slowly ...
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Blog Updated @ 3:11 PM MDT. Click On The Photos & Newspaper Articles To Enlarge Them. On May 31, 1991 at 8:39 PM MDT a then rated (F-2 Tornado touched down 2.1 miles southeast of the Carlsbad Airport (as the crow flies) just southwest of the end of Wagonwheel Rd. A day and time that many local residents will never forget. Newspaper articles at the time reported conflicting reports (understandably so) concerning the damage, injuries, and the time of the tornado. To many residents this was a shock...not something that we are used to seeing or dealing with.  The tornado touched down right at dusk. Cass Hernandez who was the Carlsbad Airport Security Guard at the time observed the tornado 2 miles southeast of the Airport as power flashes occurred from the tornado destroying power lines and transformers. It was eerie looking contrasted with the darkness and power flashes but there was no mistaking what was happening. The Tornado's path is circled in red...
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Cloudcroft & Ruidoso, NM Seasonal Snowfall Totals.

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This blog and its contents are for informational purposes only! Always have multiple sources of information available to rely upon during severe weather. Do not rely solely on the Internet. Be weather-aware, plan ahead, have a backup plan, and be ready to act before severe weather strikes your location.