Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

No White Christmas For SE NM This Year.


Late Christmas Week-Weekend Storm?

Valid @ 5 AM MST Christmas Morning.

Valid @ 5 AM MST Christmas Morning.

Valid @ 5 AM MST Christmas Morning.

I'll go ahead and play the role of Mr. Scrooge and ruin your expectations of a white Christmas this year if you live in southeastern New Mexico and nearby areas. Not this year folks. Sorry. At least this is the way it looks now. A powerful winter storm is forecast by the models to be approaching the central California area by Christmas morning. Unless this storm really speeds up and dives way further south than current model forecasts indicate we are not going to have a white Christmas locally.

 Current model forecast trends are calling for a warm and dry Christmas Eve and Christmas for us. Our high temperatures will be in the mid 60's to near 70 Christmas Eve. And from the upper 60's to the low 70's on Christmas. These temperatures will be some 10-20 degrees above normal.

Warm & Dry For Christmas This Year.

Christmas Eve.

Valid @ 5 PM MST Christmas Eve Afternoon.

Valid Christmas Eve.

The cities that have circles around them may tie or break their record high temperatures for the day.

Valid @ 5 PM MST Christmas Eve Afternoon.

Christmas Day.

Valid @ 5 PM MST Christmas Afternoon.

Valid Christmas.

The cities that have circles around them may tie or break their record high temperatures for the day.

Valid @ 5 PM MST Christmas Afternoon.

Model Mayhem & Chaos For The End Of The Week.

Valid @ 5 AM MST Sunday, Dec 27, 2015.

To be truthful I'm not sure the computer forecast models know what to do with our next winter storm late next week. They continue to be all over the place with their forecasts. So to say the least a great deal of uncertainty remains surrounding this event, which is due to start impacting New Mexico by the end of this upcoming week. 

This mornings U.S. GFS model has backed off on its snowfall forecast for the southeastern plains. In stark and almost ridiculous contrast this mornings European model drops a "meteorological bomb/closed mid level low" south of El Paso by next Sunday morning. Its snowfall forecasts for southeastern New Mexico borders on the absurd. Using the 15 to 1 snowfall ratios, generally speaking, it clobbers the southeastern plains east of the Sacramento mountains with two to nearly three feet of snow. Thanks just really hard to believe!

Its fairly safe to say that for now nothing is clear yet concerning our weather from Christmas onward into the holiday weekend. Yes there will be a winter storm headed to the Four Corners area but what impacts, where, and how long are still up in the air. 

If you have travel plans anywhere in the New Mexico, Arizona, Texas, Colorado, and nearby areas from Christmas into next weekend please keep up to date with all of the latest National Weather Service forecasts, watches, and warnings concerning this potential significant upcoming winter storm. Listed below are some great resources to use.

(Click Anywhere On The Map Of Your Interested Area).







The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Comments

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112
WHEN WILL THE NEXT CME ARRIVE? A magnetic filament in the sun's southrn hemisphere erupted on Oct. 4th, hurling part of itself into space. The emerging CME will pass mostly to the south of our planet, but a fraction could graze Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 8th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for minor geomagnetic storms and auroras on that date.

NWS Forecast High Temps Today

NWS Forecast Low Temps Tonight

NWS Storm Total Precipitation Forecast

NWS Total Snowfall Forecast

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures

NWS Midland Twitter

NWS Albuquerque Twitter

NWS El Paso Twitter

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map
Click On The Map To Go To The Live Link.

SPC Current Watches In Effect

SPC Mesoscale Discussions

SPC Day -1 Severe Weather Outlook

Regional Radar

National Hurricane Center - Atlantic

NWS Midland Web Page

NWS Midland Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Midland Radar

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Web Page

NWS Albuquerque Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

Cannon AFB Radar

NWS Albuquerque Radar

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecasts.

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecast

NWS El Paso Web Page

NWS El Paso Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS El Paso Radar

Holloman AFB Radar

NWS El Paso Regional Forecasts.

NWS Lubbock Web Page

NWS Lubbock Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Lubbock Radar

Lubbock Regional Forecast

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecast

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecast
Average First Freeze

10-6-2022: NINO RODRIGUEZ & KERRY CASSIDY: A CONVERSATION

10-4-2022: Meri Interviews Juan O. Savin With Intel On President Trump, Russia, And The Elections

10-4-2022: JUAN O'SAVIN W/ MAJOR INTEL ON UPCOMING WARGAMING OF MID-TERMS W/ DAVID NINO RODRIGUEZ

10-4-2022: Derek Johnson & Michael Jaco SHOCKING News

10-3-2022: Tucker Carlson: Biden is responsible for this destruction in Europe