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Today's Temps Will Be More Like Mid March Than Mid December.

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Sunrise In Carlsbad, NM. 12-10-2015.

It was 61°F here at our home in Carlsbad at 5 AM this morning. Carlsbad's average high/low temperatures for December 11th are 58°F/28°F. Our afternoon high temperature today will be in the upper 70's, maybe even reach 80°F. I recorded a high of 82°F on Thursday. A bit on the windy side today and cooler this weekend. 



Reported High Temperatures Thursday.


These high temperatures recorded on Thursday are more typical of the middle of March than they are of the middle of December. These readings are some 15-25 degrees above normal.

Weekend Storm.

Last Night's 06Z/11 PM MST GFS 500 MB Forecast.
Valid @ 11 PM MST Saturday.

Our next mid level trough of low pressure will sweep across the state fairly quickly Saturday. It may briefly close off Saturday night but this won't be a significant factor in our local weather. The fact that it is tracking across northeastern New Mexico means more wind for us than precipitation.

Last Night's 06Z/11 PM MST GFS Surface Forecast.
Valid @ 11 AM MST Saturday.

Last Night's 06Z/11 PM MST GFS Temperature Anomaly Forecast.
Valid @ 11 AM MST Today.

Last Night's 06Z/11 PM MST GFS Temperature Anomaly Forecast.
Valid @ 11 AM MST Sunday.

NWS 72 Hour Accumulated Snowfall Forecast.
Valid @ 5 AM MST Monday.





High Wind Watch.

High Wind Warning.

Winter Weather Advisory.

High Wind Warning For The Guadalupe Mtn's.

A Pacific cold front will work its way eastward across the state on Saturday. Western and northern New Mexico especially in the mountains have the best chances of seeing accumulating snowfall. The Sacramento mountains may pick up a couple inches of fresh snow out of this storm. A few light rain showers will be possible across southeastern New Mexico on Saturday.

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New Mexico This Coming Christmas Weekend? Those of us who live in New Mexico have developed a unique sense of humor when it comes to our weather. I've often said that we live in a place where extremes more often than not are normal. Take for example the rest of this weeks forecast for Carlsbad depicted below. Latest NWS Forecast For Carlsbad, New Mexico. My high temperature here at our home yesterday was 74°F. Contrast that to what's coming this weekend...depicted below. Its not unusual at all to have high temps in the 70's or even the 80's ahead of a strong winter storm locally. We saw this with the major snowstorms in December 1987, December 1997, and February 2011, and with other strong winter storms too. Long Range Model Forecasts On Weekend Storm. This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST European (ECMWF) 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Sunday, Dec 27, 2015. This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST U.S. GFS 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 11AM MST Sunday, Dec ...
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Blog Updated At 9:57 PM MST. Courtesy Of Glen Brazell. Shared On Twitter By Kerry Jones. Nearly 30" The Ground In Ruidoso, NM. Downtown Ruidoso, New Mexico. Ruidoso Web Cam Snapshot At 1:54 PM MST This Afternoon. National Weather Service Watches & Warnings In Effect. As Of 5 AM MST Friday, December 28, 2018. Click On This Link To Open Up The Latest Updated Map. Then Once The Map Opens Up, Click Anywhere On The Map To Be Re-directed To Your Area Of Interest. The NWS Office That Has Forecast And Warning Responsibility For That Location Will Have The Latest Weather Information Posted On Their Web Page. US GFS 500 Millibar (18,000') Analysis. Valid At 11 PM MST Thursday Evening. As of midnight last night a slow moving and powerful closed upper level low was located over northern Arizona. US GFS 500 Millibar (18,000') Forecast. Valid At 5 PM MST Today.  This winter storm is forecast to continue sinking slowly ...
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25th Anniversary Of The Carlsbad, NM (May 31, 1991) Tornado Coming Up.

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Blog Updated @ 3:11 PM MDT. Click On The Photos & Newspaper Articles To Enlarge Them. On May 31, 1991 at 8:39 PM MDT a then rated (F-2 Tornado touched down 2.1 miles southeast of the Carlsbad Airport (as the crow flies) just southwest of the end of Wagonwheel Rd. A day and time that many local residents will never forget. Newspaper articles at the time reported conflicting reports (understandably so) concerning the damage, injuries, and the time of the tornado. To many residents this was a shock...not something that we are used to seeing or dealing with.  The tornado touched down right at dusk. Cass Hernandez who was the Carlsbad Airport Security Guard at the time observed the tornado 2 miles southeast of the Airport as power flashes occurred from the tornado destroying power lines and transformers. It was eerie looking contrasted with the darkness and power flashes but there was no mistaking what was happening. The Tornado's path is circled in red...
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Winter Storm Watches & Warnings Are In Effect - Click On This Link For Additional Details. U.S. GFS Storm Total Snowfall Forecast. Valid At 6 PM MDT Wednesday. Today's (Sunday) noon mdt run of the GFS forecast model is just plain nuts. Its trend has been to produce heavier snowfall totals and aerial coverages with each new run over the past day. This has me worried. 19" for Roswell, 12" for Artesia, 15" for Clovis, 28" for the Fort Sumner area, and 17" for Corona! This would be wild in the dead of winter but is absolutely unheard of in the part of the world in October! The last time we saw something like this come to pass was the Blizzard of December 27, 28, 29th, 2015. Will history repeats itself? I hope not but I will admit that I am worried. My feeling is that we will see snowfall accumulations of around 6" to 12" in SE NM and 6" to 18" in the mountains.  GFS Freezing Rain Accumulation Forecast. Valid Tonight Through PM MDT Wednes...
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Average Daily High/Low Temps & Precipitation

My Precipitation Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Precipitation Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Snowfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

My Snowfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

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Disclaimer

This blog and its contents are for informational purposes only! Always have multiple sources of information available to rely upon during severe weather. Do not rely solely on the Internet. Be weather-aware, plan ahead, have a backup plan, and be ready to act before severe weather strikes your location.