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Saturday, September 16, 2017

Thunderstorms Have Returned - Watching Norma.




We ran headlong into this shelf cloud about halfway between Brownfield and Lubbock, Texas on August 22nd. A squall line was moving to the southeast, as we were headed northeast towards Lubbock. A haboob (or large dust cloud) formed to our right at the end of the shelf cloud along the leading edge of the outflow boundary.

Summer Isn't Ready To Give Up Just Yet.

100-degree temps returned to the local area Thursday and Friday. Here are a few of the selected local high temperatures recorded on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday.

Wednesday-

Roswell Airport 99
Artesia Climate 95
Artesia Airport 97
Hope Climate 92
Brantley Dam Climate 94
Carlsbad Climate 95
Carlsbad Airport 99
Hobbs Airport 95

Elk Climate 88
Cloudcroft Climate 78
Sierra Blanca Regional Airport 84

Thursday-

Roswell Airport 98
Artesia Climate 98
Artesia Airport 97
Hope Climate 96
Brantely Dam Climate 99
Carlsbad Climate 102
Carlsbad Airport 101
Hobbs Airport 99

Elk Climate 87
Cloudcroft Climate 78
Sierra Blanca Regional Airport 82

Friday-

Roswell Airport 97
Artesia Climate 99
Artesia Airport 97
Hope Climate 94
Brantley Dam Climate 101
Carlsbad Climate 103
Carlsbad Airport 96
Hobbs Airport 93

Elk Climate Missing
Cloudcroft Climate 70
Sierra Blanca Regional Airport 77

Normal High & Low Temps For Sept 15th-

Roswell 86/59
Carlsbad 87/59
Hobbs 86/60
Ruidoso 75/42
Cloudcroft 67/41

Climate data is courtesy of the Climate Data Center, the Western Region Climate Data Center, and ACIS.

Western U.S. High Country Snows.




U.S. GFS 500 MB Forecast.

Valid At 6 AM MDT Saturday, September 23, 2017.

U.S. GFS 7-Day Snowfall Forecast.

Valid At 6 AM MDT Saturday, September 23, 2017.

Snow has been falling across the high country of the Western U.S. this past week and is forecast to do so off and on into late next week in places. Looks like Old Man Winter is going to come early for the Western U.S. this year.

Will We Get Any Of Hurricane Norma's Moisture?


Hurricane Norma was located some 260 miles south of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico at 6 AM MDT this morning. Norma had just barley made hurricane status with sustained winds of 75 mph. She is currently stationary. 

For the past several days some of the computer forecast models had been forecasting that a slug of Norma's remnant moisture would get picked up by a series of Western U.S. upper level troughs of low pressure and brought northward into New Mexico and West Texas. The latest runs are backing off of this somewhat. 

We are transitioning out of a summer pattern into a fall pattern so the models typically struggle with their forecasts this time of the year. I think we are seeing this so the jury is not out just yet on whether or not we get wet from Norma or not. 

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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