NWS NDFD Rainfall Forecast Totals.
(Today Through 6 AM MDT Monday).
Weather Prediction Center 7-Day Rainfall Forecast Totals.
Like a broken record that has been stuck in the same old grove playing the same song over and over again...our local weather forecasts once again promise rain and severe weather today into Saturday.
All of the severe weather parameters will come in to play today, this evening, and again Saturday. This includes scattered supercell thunderstorms that will produce large hail, damaging thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 60 mph, deadly cloud to ground lightning, locally heavy rains that may lead to localized flash flooding.
All I can say is look out when a storm does roll over us/you. It will be catch-up time in a hurry. Thunderstorms remain in our forecast through the weekend into next week too.
(Issued At 10:27 AM MDT This Friday Morning).
..Texas to eastern NM...
An isolated damaging wind and marginally severe hail risk should exist downstream of an ongoing short line segment in east-central TX. 2000-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE will be common ahead of this segment, with potential for additional development towards the Upper TX Coastal Plain this afternoon. Modest deep-layer shear should limit the potential for greater organization. Farther west, weak mid/upper height rises will occur late today into tonight. Nevertheless, ample low-level moisture characterized by low to mid 60s surface dew points currently across the Pecos Valley/Permian Basin will foster scattered storm development over the higher terrain of southeast NM and the TX Trans-Pecos by late afternoon. A veering wind profile with height in conjunction with favorable speed shear from 500-250 mb should support a large hail risk along with isolated sig. Consolidation of convection into a small MCS tonight appears possible in parts of west TX. Increasingly weak 700-500 mb flow amid the height rises should limit organization potential and marginalize the risk for severe wind gusts.
Thunderstorm Produces Damages In Dexter Yesterday Afternoon.
(Courtesy Of Jim Tucker On Facebook).
(6:47 PM MDT).
Quote- "Kudos to Lynn Coats, (aka Core Punch), for providing real time reports from a storm that produced strong winds and nickel sized hail. The storm crossed U.S. 285 at Ojibwa Road then proceeded in an easterly direction causing extensive damage including Rock Hill Dairy. I believe photo credit goes to Dexter Fire Chief Justin Powell, except for the shot from inside Lynn's vehicle."
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction - And Sometimes It Hurts!