Brrrrr...Now That's A Cold Front!

May 4th, 2019.

Southeast of Lovington, New Mexico.

Valid At Noon MDT Today.

Valid At 6 AM MDT Thursday Morning.

86ºF has been my high temp here in Carlsbad as of 5 PM MDT today. I hope you like much colder temps because that's whats coming tonight into Friday night. A strong cold front was hung up across northeastern New Mexico late this afternoon but will push southward into Southeastern New Mexico around or just before sunrise Thursday morning. Define a strong cold about low temps tomorrow morning in Tatum near 40ºF.  And if that isn't enough of a shock how about highs on Friday of only in the 50's. Yikes!

NWS NDFD Forecast High Temps Thursday.

NWS NDFD Forecast High Temps Friday.

Old Man Winter To Clobber Northern NM Mtn's.

Valid Tonight Through 6 PM MDT Saturday.

(Issued At 3:32 PM MDT).



The wet weather pattern will continue through Monday or Tuesday as a
series of disturbances cross the area. The vast majority of the
forecast area is expected to accumulate over 0.75 of an inch of rain
over this time period, with over 2 inches across the high terrain.
Several inches to over 18 inches of snow are expected tonight through
Friday in the northern mountains mainly above 8500 feet. Another foot
or two of snow will be possible across the very high terrain (above
9000 feet) this weekend into early next week.

An upper level trough crossing northern NM from the west tonight will
send a moist and gusty back door cold front plunging southwestward
into the state tonight and Thursday, when it will reach the
continental divide. Gusts up to 50 mph are briefly expected with the
front on the far east central plains this evening, then gusts up to
45 mph will be possible below canyons opening into the middle Rio
Grande Valley Thursday night. Moist east and southeast low level flow
will persist over central and eastern areas through Friday night,
then it will abate as one disturbance shifts northeast of the area on
Saturday. A moist southeasterly return flow will again redevelop
Sunday through Monday as an upper level low pressure system
approaches from the upper Baja Peninsula and finally crosses. Models
vary on the track and timing of the upper low as it crosses the
region Sunday night through Tuesday, so there is some uncertainty
about where the heaviest precipitation will be during this period.
Severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday and especially Monday.

Drier air should move in from the west with a ridge of high pressure
toward the middle of next week, but moisture trapped under the ridge
will probably recycle with daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms
at least in the mountains.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction - And Sometimes It Hurts!


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