Widespread Wetting Rains Coming Up.
May 4th, 2019.
Looking northeast at a developing severe thunderstorm near Tatum. More of our storm chase photos from last Saturday can be viewed via this link.
Wet End To The Week.
Valid At 6 AM MDT Sunday.
Today's weather will be dominated by a departing shortwave over the area which will be in the process of lifting off to the northeast. On Friday a developing closed mid/upper level low will drop southward into the Baja Region where it will linger through Sunday. This feature combined with a stout cold front due to arrive in Southeastern New Mexico on Thursday should set the stage for widespread wetting rains across much of the state Thursday night into the weekend. Some of which will be quiet heavy.
Valid At 6 AM MDT Thursday.
Valid Today Through 6 AM MDT Next Wednesday.
GFS Total Rainfall Forecast.
Valid Today Through 6 AM MDT Next Wednesday.
SREF Total Rainfall Forecast.
Valid Today Through Noon MDT Saturday.
NAM Total Rainfall Forecast.
Valid Today Through Noon MDT Friday.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms are forecast to ramp up starting Thursday night and continuing off an on throughout the weekend across much of New Mexico including the Southeastern Plains and nearby areas. With the slow movement of the closed/cuttoff mid/upper level low to our west Friday into Sunday which will kick out disturbances from time to time that will move overhead, we have a near perfect setup for widespread decent rainfall accumulations. Storm totals locally could be as high as 1" to 3" by Sunday, maybe higher in a few isolated areas.
Valid Today Through 6 AM MDT Saturday.
High mountains snows are anticipated (generally around 8,000 to 9,000 feet) across the states northern mountains this evening through Friday. Some of the higher elevations will likely see a foot or so of fresh snow. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect. Snow levels across far northeastern New Mexico will drop down to as low as 7,000'.
From the Low-Mid 90's To The 50's.
Roswell.
Carlsbad.
Sierra Blanca Regional Airport Near Ruidoso.
Brrrr...a strong cold front will knock our daytime high temperatures here in Southeastern New Mexico and nearby areas down into the 50's on Friday. This from the low to mid 90's a few days ago. Cloudcroft at 8,750' in the southern Sacramento mountains is only expecting to see a high of 38ºF on Friday and Ruidoso the low 40's. Don't be too surprised if you see a few wet snow flakes mixed in with the rain at times in the Cloudcroft and sunspot areas. Ski Apache and Sierra Blanca Peak may even see accumulating snowfall.
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction - And Sometimes It Hurts!
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