Quote- "Isolated thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon, mainly over the higher terrain of southeast New Mexico and west Texas as mild conditions continue areawide. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible over southeast New Mexico tonight. The strongest storms this afternoon and tonight will produce gusty winds to 40 mph, frequent cloud to ground lightning and brief heavy rainfall."
Quote- "An upper level storm system will approach the region from the northwest Sunday, then move over the area Monday. There will be a chance of thunderstorms, mainly west of the Pecos River Sunday with severe storms possible over the higher terrain of southwest Texas.
Large hail, damaging winds and locally heavy rainfall will be the primary threats from these storms. A cold front will move into the area Sunday night and move through the area Monday.
The front, along with the upper system over the area, will result in scattered thunderstorms areawide. Some of the storms could be severe, but mainly over the higher terrain of southwest Texas where the atmosphere will be most unstable. Heavy rainfall will also be possible Monday, which could lead to localized flash flooding."
Without a doubt we have entered a significant pattern change here in southeastern New Mexico. I really hope that it signifies the end of our historic drought...time will tell. I know one thing, the rain and cooler weather sure changed a lot of peoples attitudes and outlooks for the better this past week. My daughter and I went for a three mile walk in the rain and fog Thursday evening with a temp of 59F. I haven't been able to do that in a while and loved it.
An upper-level trough of low pressure is forecast to drop southeastward out of the Great Basin and into the Sunday and Monday. This combined with a cold front that will be working its way southward down the eastern plains and into southeastern New Mexico Sunday, will give us another round of cooler weather, along with an increasing chance for widespread showers and thunderstorms.
Scattered thunderstorms will fire along the Guadalupe, Sacramento, and Capitan Mountains this afternoon and then drift out onto the southeastern plains. More widespread thunderstorm activity is forecast for Sunday into Monday. Once again heavy rainfall is likely to return to the area and most of us should see storm total rainfall amounts generally between 1" - 2". Some of us will likely see these totals exceed 2".
Severe Thunderstorms Possible!
Severe thunderstorms will be possible across the local area Sunday into Monday.As of this writing (Saturday morning May 12, 2012) it appears that the primary severe weather threats will be large hail and damaging thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 60 mph. And don't forget to seek shelter if outdoors when a thunderstorm approaches your location, deadly cloud to ground lighting will accompany all of these thunderstorms. Remember...When Thunder Roars, Go Indoors.
Flash Flood Threat Increasing!
Most of southeastern New Mexico received from 1" - 4" of rain this past week. We are now getting primed for localized flash flooding. Any thunderstorm that produces locally heavy rainfall from this afternoon into Monday will have the potential to cause some localized flash flood problems. This will be especially true over and near the foothills and mountains, as well as over and near any burn scar area. Never try and drive across a flooded arroyo and please do not let your children play in them. Remember...Turn Around, Don't Drown.
Lubbock, Texas Tornado May 11, 1970
Yesterday May 11, 2012 marked the 42nd anniversary of the historic Lubbock, Texas tornado. A supercell thunderstorm formed just to the south of the city along a westward backing dryline and produced two tornadoes in Lubbock. One of which was a then rated F5, the strongest on the Fujita Tornado rating scale. For additional information, photos, and videos please visit these links. City of Lubbock Web Site, Lubbock NWS Wed Site.
May 11, 1970 Lubbock Tornado Facts.
|Serious Injuries||255 persons|
|Minor Injuries||1,500 persons|
|Public Property Damage||$7,500,000|
|Automobile Damage||10,000 cars sustained $6,000,000 in damages|
|Debris Removed||375,000 cubic yards|
|Federal funds allocated for relief||$59,000,000|
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!
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