A Little Less Wind Today...But Saturday Will Make Up For It.
GFS 500 MB Forecast @ 6 PM MDT Saturday.
Most peak wind gusts across southeastern New Mexico were measured in the 40-50 mph range yesterday. Today is expected to be less windy but this won't last long. Saturday's will be another very windy and dusty day.
ECMWF Temperature Anomaly Forecast @ 6 PM MDT Saturday.
GFS Temperature Anomaly Forecast @ Noon MDT Sunday.
ECMWF Temperature Anomaly Forecast @ Noon MDT Sunday.
A broad and cold upper-level trough of low pressure will cover much of the area by Saturday. As this feature deepens and swingssouthward into the area, the surface pressure gradient will tighten up, making for a very windy and dusty day Saturday.
Southwesterly winds are expected to gust up into the 50 - 65 mph range across the lower elevations, and up to around 75 mph in the Guadalupe's where a High Wind Warning is in effect. A High Wind Watch is also in effect on Saturday for Chaves and Lincoln Counties.
Tons of dust ought to be filling our skies by around mid-day Saturday. As is usually the case our more dust prone locations such as over and near freshly plowed or exposed farmlands, fields, lots, and construction sites will experience sudden drops in the visibility down to near zero with little or no advanced warning. This may pose a travel hazard on some of our local roadways.
Red Flag Warnings are in effect for today, and a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Saturday. Please be careful with any outdoor activity that involves the use of sparks or flames. This will be especially true on Saturday when any wildfire will have the ability to rapidly spread and grow in the high winds.
A strong cold front will dive southward Saturday in the local area Saturday evening. Colder temps will follow behind the cold front. Low temps Sunday morning will likely drop down into the upper 20's to near freezing, and lows Monday morning will be a little colder with readings in the mid to upper 20's. A hard freeze may occur Sunday morning but more so on Monday morning. There goes our fruit trees. High temps on Sunday and Monday will mostly be in the 50's. Our temperatures will average some twenty degrees below normal Saturday night into Monday.
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!
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