We may not be able to let our guard down just yet. Remnant moisture from former Hurricane Manuel is forecast to work its way northward and northeastward and into the area tonight into Friday. A Flash Flood Watch has been issued by the Midland National Weather Service Office for much of west Texas for Thursday morning into Friday evening. A couple of disturbances associated with this remnant moisture will help to destabilize the atmosphere, and a cold front approaching from the north on Friday will further add to the mix to help produce heavy rainfall in the watch area. Rainfall totals of 1" - 2" along with isolated totals of 3" - 4" will be possible within the watch area.
A Flash Flood Watch continues in effect through this evening for the southern Sacramento Mountains where an additional 1" - 2" of rainfall may fall. This will be especially true over and near the 16 Springs Canyon area which has had repeat occurrences of flash flooding.
At this time (as of 5:55 PM MDT today) the Midland National Weather Service forecasters have opted to leave Eddy and Culberson Counties out of their flash flood watch. Any subtle shift in the mid and upper level pattern could potentially send the remnant moisture associated with former Hurricane Manuel into southeastern New Mexico tomorrow into Friday.
Therefore this will have to be watched very closely. Should this happen, we will once again be under the gun for additional heavy rainfall which could possibly produce additional flash flooding tomorrow into Friday in the local area.
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