Complicated Winter Storm Taking Aim On NM!

This Mornings Water Vapor Satellite Image At 9 AM MST. Last Nights 00Z/5 PM MST ECMWF 500 MB Analysis. Last Nights 00Z/5 PM MST ECMWF 500 Forecast. Valid At 5 PM MST Wednesday January 2, 2013. This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST GFS 500 MB Analysis. This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST NAM 500 MB Analysis. Looking at the Water Vapor Satellite Image posted above, you can see that a Winter Storm was located over Central California this morning. This is also depicted by the models (the ECMWF last night, and this mornings GFS, and NAM). This is about at far as the models go as far as agreement on the future track and strength of this storm. They generally agree that this first storm will swing east across Arizona today into tomorrow, and into northern New Mexico on Monday. To varying degrees they then want to forecast a second short wave trough to drop south over the Desert Southwest by around New Years Day. What happens after that is highly uncertain at ...