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Fall Freeze Data For New Mexico

High Winds Thursday - First Freeze Friday & Saturday.


Very Dense Fog With Areas Of Light Rain And Drizzle From Artesia To Cloudcroft (Along US Hwy 82) On Nov 5th. Visibility Down To Less Than 100 Yards At Times.

Like October - November Warmer Than Normal.


So far the first half of November like October has been warmer than normal for New Mexico. Here in Southeastern New Mexico our temperatures are averaging some 5 to 10 degrees above the 30 year climatic normals. And we have yet to experience our first freeze of the season. This all will change by Friday and Saturday. 

Not Everyone Is Warmer Than Normal.


Don't Be Fooled By The Above Normal Temps.


Notice how cold it has been (below normal to much below normal) across the Northern Asian Continent. Some 20 to 50 degrees below normal in parts of Siberia. This slug of cold air will in time begin to spread eastward out of Siberia and eventually southward from the Arctic and Alaska and into the Continental U.S. A pattern shift is underway across North America which in time will favor a turn to colder and snowier weather across the U.S. in the coming weeks...especially December into January. At least that is what the long range forecasts indicators are pointing to. 

And don't be fooled by the warmer than normal temperature anomalies across the Arctic, Canada, and Siberia. Although these areas are warmer than normal they are already dropping down into the subzero range with some readings as cold as -20ºF to -30ºF. 



My low temperature here at our home in Carlsbad yesterday morning was a cool 39ºF. With a dry airmass in place and sunny skies my afternoon high shot up to 81ºF. That's a 42-degree temperature spread.

First Fall High Wind Event Thursday.

Valid @ 11 AM MST Thursday.

Valid @ 11 AM MST Thursday.

Valid @ 11 AM MST Thursday.


A potent upper level storm is set to dive southeastward out of the Pacific Northwest and into Northern New Mexico and Southern Colorado on Thursday. As a 125 knot or 144 mph jet stream wind speed max approaches the state Thursday afternoon the surface pressure gradient in response to this will tighten up. This at the time of peak heating will all combine to produce a very windy day across much of New Mexico and nearby areas Thursday. The strongest winds are forecast to occur over and near the Mountains, and across the Northeastern and Eastern plains. 

A High Wind Watch has been issued for these areas of the Albuquerque National Weather Service Forecast Area. Southwesterly winds are forecast to increase to sustained speeds of 30 to 45 mph with gusts around 60 to 70 mph. This includes the Ruidoso area.

A High Wind Watch has also been issued for the Guadalupe Mountains of Southeastern New Mexico and West Texas. Westerly winds sustained at around 35 to 45 mph are forecast to gust up to around 60 mph on Thursday.

Areas of blowing dust may suddenly drop the visibility across the lower elevations of the state while areas of blowing snow may do the same across parts of the Northern Mountains. 

Southwesterly winds sustained at around 20 to 30 mph with higher gusts are forecast for the Southeastern Plains on Thursday. Our highs today will once again top the 80-degree mark and the 70's are forecast for Thursday.

A cold front will sweep across the area Thursday night into Friday morning. Our highs on Friday are forecast to be in the 50's. Most of us will finally experience our first freeze of the season either Friday morning or Saturday morning.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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MY CoCoRaHS Precipitation Data

NWS Albuquerque 2026 Winter Outlook (Updated Nov 3rd).

NWS Midland Web Page

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Eddy County

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NWS Midland Hazardous Weather Outlook
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NWS Midland Hazardous Weather Outlook

NWS Midland Hazardous Weather Outlook

NWS Midland Hazardous Weather Outlook

NWS Midland Hazardous Weather Outlook
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NWS Midland Forecast High Temperatures Today

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NWS Midland Forecast Graphic
Rain chances will increase from west to east over our area Friday evening through early Saturday morning ahead of an approaching upper level system. Rain showers may linger over eastern portions of our region into the day Saturday. Locally heavy rainfall may result in minor flooding or ponding of water in urban and low lying areas, but the overall risk of flash flooding remains very limited.

NWS Albuquerque Web Page

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NWS Albuquerque New Mexico Precipitation Forecasts

New Mexico

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NWS Albuquerque Hazardous Weather Outlook

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NWS Albuquerque Graphic Forecast
Showers with embedded thunderstorms enter southwestern NM this afternoon, spreading to more of eastern and northern NM tonight into Saturday morning. Some storms will produce gusty winds and brief moderate rainfall.

NWS Albuquerque Graphic Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Graphic Forecast
Valley rain and mountain snow spread over the northern mountains with rain and storms favoring the eastern plains through much of the day Saturday.

NWS Albuquerque Graphic Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Graphic Forecast
Snow above 9,000' will generally range 2-6 inches with locally higher amounts up to 8 inches atop the peaks. Slick winter travel will favor the U.S. 64 corridor through the Tusas Mts.

NWS Albuquerque Forecast Grpahics

NWS Albuquerque Forecast Grpahics
Cooler and wetter weather late today through the weekend. Calmer weather returns late Sunday through Monday before the next storm system looks to clip northwestern NM Tuesday.

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Otero County

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NWS El Paso Hazardous Weather Outlook
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NWS El Paso Hazardous Weather Outlook
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NWS El Paso Graphic Forecast
A Pacific storm system rapidly moves across Arizona and southern New Mexico in the afternoon and night of Friday. Highest rainfall is expected east of the Rio Grande Valley.

NWS El Paso Graphic Forecast

NWS El Paso Graphic Forecast
Showers will begin in the west Friday afternoon and spread east through the evening. Highest rainfall amounts likely from the Rio Grande Valley east. A few thunderstorms also possible.

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NWS Lubbock Web Page

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NWS Lubbock South Plains Precipitation Forecasts

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NWS Lubbock Graphic Forecast

NWS Lubbock Graphic Forecast
Today will start off mostly with highs in the 60s. Clouds will increase tonight along with rain chances with lows in the 40s.

NWS Lubbock Graphic Forecast

NWS Lubbock Graphic Forecast
Cloudy, cool, and rainy conditions are expected across the region Saturday through Saturday night. The highest rain chances will generally be off the Caprock after 6 PM on Saturday evening. Some locally heavy rain is possible, but widespread flooding is not expected.

NWS Lubbock Graphic Forecast

NWS Lubbock Graphic Forecast
Precipitation chances return Friday night through Sunday, with the best chances being Saturday night. Severe storms are not expected, but rainfall amounts over an inch are possible (20-40% chance) off the Caprock. Cooler conditions are expected at the start of next week, when highs may only be in the low 50s.

My Rainfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Rainfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Seasonal Snowfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Seasonal Snowfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

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