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Thursday, November 3, 2016

Round Two With More Thunderstorms & Heavy Rain.


24-Hour Rainfall Totals.
(As Of 4 AM MDT).

NWS Midland Doppler Radar Estimated 24-Hour Rainfall Totals.
(Using GRLevelX Radar Software).

(As Of 4 AM MDT This Morning).







Valid @ 53 AM MDT This Morning.


WPC 7-Day Storm Total Rainfall Forecast.
Valid @ 5 PM MST Wednesday, Nov 9, 2016.

Early this morning the cutoff low had settled in just south of Yuma, Arizona in Northwestern Mexico. It will remain there until Friday when it begins to lift to the northeast reaching the Four Corners Area by Saturday morning. 

Continued low level upslope flow behind the cold front interacting with additional upper level disturbances rotating northeast out of the low and overhead will all continue to produce scattered rain showers and thunderstorms over the area through Saturday.

 Locally heavy rainfall remains in our forecast along with the possibility of localized flash flooding. This will be especially be true whenever and wherever training thunderstorms occur. Some locations in West Texas between Lubbock and Midland have already received 1" to 2" of rainfall.

A severe thunderstorm dropped quarter to golf ball size hail in Andrews, Texas yesterday afternoon. With a cooler atmosphere now in place over southeastern New Mexico our chances for severe thunderstorms have diminished. However southern New Mexico is at risk for severe thunderstorms today and Friday which may produce large hail and damaging thunderstorm wind gusts. An isolated strong tornado cannot be ruled out either. 

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