Hurricane Dorian Stalls Overnight - A Pattern Change Next Weekend?



Valid At 5:11 AM MDT Monday, Sept 3rd, 2019.





Hurricane Dorian has sustained winds of 120 mph gusting to 150 mph as of 5 AM MDT this Monday morning. His central pressure is 952 millibars or 28.11" of mercury. Dorian has remained stationary overnight and continues to unleash hell upon the northern Bahama islands. Official forecasts call for Dorian to begin a slow turn to the northwest today.

Pattern Change Next Weekend?

GFS 500 MB Forecast.

Valid At 6 PM MDT Sunday, Sept 8, 2019.

GFS Forecast High Temps

Valid At 6 PM MDT Sunday, Sept 8, 2019.

GFS Forecast Low Temps.

Valid At 6 AM MDT Sunday, Sept 8, 2019.

GFS Forecast Temperature Anomalies.

Valid At 3 PM MDT Sunday, Sept 8, 2019.



Both the GFS and the ECMWF models are forecasting a pattern change by next weekend with a trough of low pressure moving across the northern states and sending a fall-like cold front southward. A second trough of low pressure is forecast to move into the Pacific Northwest.

A cold front will dip southward into the central U.S. by next weekend. How far south is uncertain at this time. Meanwhile we are forecast to remain above normal temperature-wise here in most of New Mexico and nearby areas. 

Typically the southward moving cold fronts will get a little stronger over time as we head deeper into September. September is on average our wettest month of the year here in Southeastern New Mexico too. So hopefully we will start to cool down and see more rain in the coming weeks. Its been a long hot summer and most of us are ready for cooler and wetter weather. 

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction - And Sometimes It Hurts!

Comments

NWS Midland Radar

Cannon AFB Radar

NWS Albuquerque Radar

NWS Lubbock Radar

Holloman AFB Radar

NWS El Paso Radar

South Plains Radar

Southern Rockies Radar

Regional Radar

Current Watches In Effect

SPC Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Current NWS National Watches/Warnings In Effect

Current NWS National Watches/Warnings In Effect
Click On The Map For The Latest Updates

New Mexico

Eddy County Plains & Guadalupe Mtn's

Guadalupe Mtn's In Culberson County

Chaves County Plains & Mtn's

Lea County

Lincoln County

Otero County

Current US Temps

Current US Wind Chill/Heat Index Temperatures

NWS Forecast High Temps Today

NWS Forecast Low Temps Tonight

NWS Albuquerque Storm Total Rainfall Forecast

NWS Midland Storm Total Rainfall Forecast

NWS El Paso Storm Total Rainfall Forecast

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures