Windy Today With Rain & Snow Overspreading Parts Of The State.

October 15, 2022.
Carlsbad, New Mexico.

Valid At 6 AM MDT Monday.

Valid At 6 PM MDT Monday.

A strong mid-upper level storm centered over central Nevada early this morning is forecast to close off and drop southeast today into Monday. By Monday afternoon the center of the storm should be located over Eastern New Mexcio.

At the surface a Pacific cold front located over the Great Basin this morning will dive southeast reaching the Four Corners late this afternoon. The front will continue moving southeastward tonight and is forecast to arrive in Southeastern New Mexic before sunrise Monday morning.

Behind the front and the mid-upper level closed low a colder airmass will overspread the region today into Tuesday. 

Many of the valley and lower elevations of the state particuarly over northern, centeral, and eastern New Mexico will see their first freeze of the seaon Tuesday morning. Roswell, Tatum, and the lower valley locations of the Southeastern Plains may also see their first freeze. This would include the Bittler Lakes Wildlife Refuge, maybe the Artesia area, Lakewood/Seven Rivers, and Loving/Malaga. 




NWS NDFD Forecast Low Tempertures.

Tuesday Morning.

NBM Storm Total Precipitation Forecast.

Valid At 6 PM MDT Tuesday.

NBM Storm Total Snowfall Forecast.
Valid At 6 PM MDT Tuesday.

Valid 6 AM MDT Sunday - 6 PM MDT Monday.

Valid Sunday Night - Monday.

Widely scattered to scattered rain and snow showers will continue to develop and overspread parts of New Mexico today. A few isolated thunderstorms are also possible. Increasing tonight into Monday. Snow levels today will start out around 9,500' or so today dropping down to around 7,500' late tonight into Monday in the colder airmass behind the cold front. 

Rainfall totals generally should be a quarter of an inch less across the lowlands and plains. Across the higher elevations of the Sacramento mountains and a few of higher peaks of the northern mountains rainfall totals may approach the half of an inch to one inch range.

A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for parts of the northern Sangre de Cristo mountains and the Tusas mountains from this morning through Monday night. Chama should see 1"-2" with 2"-6" at the higher elevations and locally 9" above 10,000'. Blowing and drifting snow will be possible also.

Snowfall totals in the Ruidoso, Alto, Capitan, and Mescalero areas are currently forecast to be an inch or less. Ski Apache may see upwards of 7" of snow.

Snowfall totals in the Cloudcroft, Sunspot, Silver Lake areas are forecast to be in the 1"-2" range especially above 9,000'. Locally higher totals are possible at the higher elevations.

Snowfall totals in the Mayhill, Sacramento/Weed, Timberon, Mountain Park/High Rolls areas are forecast to less than an inch below 7,000' and around an inch above 7.500'-8,000'.

Windy Today.

Valid Today - 6 PM MDT Tuesday.

Valid Today.

Valid Today.

Valid Today - Monday Evening.

Our first widespread strong/high wind event of the fall season will occur today into Monday evening. High Wind Warnings are in effect for northeatern New Mexico, the Sacramento mountains, and parts of the Western mountains of the state. Southwesterly to westerly winds are forecast to gust up to around to 55-65 mph in these areas today. This includes the Ruidoso and Cloudcroft areas. At the lower elecations these winds are forecast to gust up to around 50-60 mph where Wind Advisories cover much of New Mexico.

Across the Guadalupe mountains a High Wind Warning is in effect today through Monday evening. Southwesterly winds sustained at around 35-45 mph will gust up to around 65-70 mph today into tonight. Shifting around to the west at sustained speeds of 40-50 mph with gusts near 75 mph on Monday.

Across the Southeastern Plains we will see southwesterly winds increase to sustained speeds of 20-30 mph today with gusts near 40-45 mph.

Localized areas of blowing dust will occur with the higher wind gusts today into Monday arcross the area. This will be espeically true in the drier areas and near exposed or open farmlands, fields, lots, and construction sites.

There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.


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