Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Happy New Year! Arctic Invasions To Return Next Week.


Valid @ 5 AM MST Sunday.

For Clayton, NM.

For Clayton, NM.

For Roswell, NM.

For Roswell, NM.

Happy New Year everyone! Just a short update to fill you in on what is in store for us beginning Saturday night. Old man winter will be flexing his arctic muscles once again. Our first shot of arctic air is forecast by the models to arrive in southeastern New Mexico this coming Saturday night. Colder air will overspread the area behind the front Sunday into at least the first of next week.

An even colder shot of arctic air is being forecast by the models to invade us by around next Tuesday. Although the models are beginning to attempt to agree on next weeks forecasts, they don't have a good handle on this upcoming stretch of cold weather just yet. Next weeks blast of arctic air has the potential to be significant, and we may see the coldest temps of the season yet with this event. 

Take a look at the temperature forecast for Clayton and Roswell as per the GFS model forecasts via the model graphics above. This model run has Clayton dropping down to a low of 5F Tuesday and an afternoon high of around 20F.

This same model drops Roswell down to 18F for a low next Tuesday morning and keeps their temp fairly constant all day long with a high only in the low 20's

Keep in mind that the models struggle with arctic airmasses, and they are really struggling with this one since it is so cold. Temperatures across the Yukon Territories of Northwestern Alaska and Canada have dropped down as low as -40F to -50F the pas few days. Chicken, Alaska dropped down to -58F last week. So this gives us a pretty good indication that this arctic airmass is very cold. Just how cold and for how long will be the question that hopefully gets resolved by the first of next week in the model outputs. 

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction! 

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Dangerous Sunspot AR3112

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