Impending Historic Blizzard Bearing Down On New Mexico!
Intense Cutoff 500 MB Low Bearing Down On Us. This Mornings RAP 500 MB Analysis. Valid @ 8 AM MST. This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST GFS 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Sunday, Dec 27, 2015. As of 8 AM MST this morning the cutoff 500 millibar (18,000') mid-upper level low was located near Phoenix, Arizona and is forecast to continue sinking southward today into tonight. The models then move it eastward across northern Mexico and into the Texas Big Bend by sunrise Sunday. This baring any surprises by this intense winter storm. Historically cutoff lows can and often are bears to forecast and many times do not play by the rules or model forecasts. So I won't be surprised if this has a few tricks up its sleeve. Be alert for possible subtle changes in the storms track and speed which could have huge impacts on some areas. Sometimes a track difference as little as 50-100 miles can either leave a community out of the snow bands or bury them. Current Radar. (At...
