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NWS Albuquerque Burn Scar Threat Matrix

A Change To Cooler & Much Wetter Weather Coming.

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Friday, Sept 24, 2021. Hobbs, New Mexico Sunrise. Chance For Heavy Rain Late Next Week? ECMWF 500 MB (18,000') Forecasts. 6 AM This Sunday Morning. 6 PM MDT Tuesday. 6 PM MDT Thursday. Once again it is "bowling ball season." Meaning that fall has arrived and we are seeing pieces of energy cut off from the main jet stream and form closed mid-upper level lows. These lows set up across the desert southwest. Meteorologists, forecasters, weather nerds often refer to these low-pressure systems as "bowling balls" because they seem to be lofted out of the jet stream and roll southward/southeastward into the region. Once such storm has been camped out over the Baja Region for the past couple of days and has helped produce scattered showers and thunderstorms across central and southern New Mexico. It is forecast to lift northeastward and into northeastern New Mexico on Tuesday. In response to the next mid-upper level trough of low-pressure diving southward into the Pacifi...

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