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Excessive Heat Today & Tomorrow!

Watching The Tropics For Potential Relief.

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"The combination of an old frontal boundary, a weakening zone of high pressure, warm water, lowering wind shear, and the arrival of a tropical wave may lead to a tropical low or a disturbance next week around the Bay of Campeche."

Valid At Sunday, July 3, 2011 6 PM MDT.

Map & Info Courtesy Of The NHC.

Next week may see the birth of the Atlantic Basins First Tropical Storm. If this does in fact happen, then the seasons first storm may be named Arlene. Its still way too early in the game to try and start pinning details on this potential down. The GFS model has been forecasting this development for the past several days now.

This mornings 12Z/6 AM MDT run of the GFS model, (snapshot above) develops a slow moving storm in the Bay of Campeche next week. It wobbles it around the southern to central Gulf of Mexico during the first week of July. A word of caution here folks, this is only one models forecast, and since a Tropical Storm has yet to develop, please take all of this with a grain of salt.

As I stated yesterday, this potential Tropical Storm that could develop next week, may or may not inject tropical moisture into our area with time. Its a long shot right now, but this storm could potentially act as a catalysis to help kick off our annual summer monsoon.

It May Take A Tropical System To Break This Historic Drought!


If you take a look at the map above, its not hard to figure out why a Tropical Storm developing in the Gulf of Mexico would grab so much attention here in New Mexico, Texas, and surrounding areas.

Of course a Tropical Storm or Hurricane could be bad news for the Gulf Coastal residents. But, if one developed in the Gulf of Mexico, then moved inland spreading its remnant moisture northward up the Rio Grande River Valley, and into W TX and SE NM, then this could be a Godsend as far as potentially breaking our historic drought.

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Today May Be The Hottest Day Of The Year!

Preliminary High Temps As Of 6 PM MDT.

West Texas-

Pecos Arpt AWOS 114
Coyanosa 2N Mesonet 114
Big Spring Arpt AWOS 113
Post 1NE Mesonet 113
Gail 2ESE Mesonet 112
Midland - N5MXE 112
Wink Arpt ASOS 112
Fort Stockton Arpt ASOS 111
Midland Intl Arpt ASOS 111
Lubbock Arpt ASOS 110
Snyder Arpt AWOS 110
Andrews Climate 110
Seminole Arpt AWOS 109
El Paso Arpt ASOS 107

Chaves County-

8-Mile Draw Raws - NE of Roswell 112
Roswell Arpt ASOS 108
Dunken Raws 101

Eddy County-

2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad 110
Alfadale - Atoka 110
Carlsbad Arpt ASOS 110
Carlsbad Climate 110
Caprock Raws 108
Artesia Arpt AWOS 106
Cottonwood - NW of Artesia 106?
Bat Draw Raws - Carlsbad Caverns 106
Queen Raws 100

Lea County-

Paduca Raws - Near The WIPP Site 113
Jal Climate 110
Tatum Climate 108
Hobbs Arpt 108
NW Hobbs - KM5BS 107
2 SW Tatum 106
Crossroads 106
East Hobbs 106
Woody Farms - 11 North of Hobbs 105

Lincoln County-

Downtown Ruidoso 93
Smokey Bear Raws - Near Ruidoso 92
Sierra Blanca Regional Arpt AWOS 91

Otero County-

Weed - Dark Ridge Observatory 98
Mayhill Raws 96
Mescal Raws - Near Mescalero 93
Hossman Observatory - Mayhill 92
Timberon CW7724 92
Cosmic Raws - Sunspot 87
Cloudcroft - Dry Canyon 87
Sacramento Peak 84

Culberson County-

Dell City 107
McKittrick Canyon Raws 103
Pinery Raws - Pine Springs 98
Dog Canyon Raws 95


The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM 24-Hour Temp Graph

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