Excessive Heat Today & Tomorrow!

Watching The Tropics For Potential Relief.

Click On The Maps To Enlarge Them.

Monitoring The Southwest Gulf of Mexico.

"The combination of an old frontal boundary, a weakening zone of high pressure, warm water, lowering wind shear, and the arrival of a tropical wave may lead to a tropical low or a disturbance next week around the Bay of Campeche."

Today's 12Z/6 AM MDT GFS Surface Forecast Map

Valid At Sunday, July 3, 2011 6 PM MDT.

Map & Info Courtesy Of The NHC.

Next week may see the birth of the Atlantic Basins First Tropical Storm. If this does in fact happen, then the seasons first storm may be named Arlene. Its still way too early in the game to try and start pinning details on this potential down. The GFS model has been forecasting this development for the past several days now.

This mornings 12Z/6 AM MDT run of the GFS model, (snapshot above) develops a slow moving storm in the Bay of Campeche next week. It wobbles it around the southern to central Gulf of Mexico during the first week of July. A word of caution here folks, this is only one models forecast, and since a Tropical Storm has yet to develop, please take all of this with a grain of salt.

As I stated yesterday, this potential Tropical Storm that could develop next week, may or may not inject tropical moisture into our area with time. Its a long shot right now, but this storm could potentially act as a catalysis to help kick off our annual summer monsoon.

It May Take A Tropical System To Break This Historic Drought!

Latest US Drought Monitor Map.

If you take a look at the map above, its not hard to figure out why a Tropical Storm developing in the Gulf of Mexico would grab so much attention here in New Mexico, Texas, and surrounding areas.

Of course a Tropical Storm or Hurricane could be bad news for the Gulf Coastal residents. But, if one developed in the Gulf of Mexico, then moved inland spreading its remnant moisture northward up the Rio Grande River Valley, and into W TX and SE NM, then this could be a Godsend as far as potentially breaking our historic drought.

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Today May Be The Hottest Day Of The Year!

Preliminary High Temps As Of 6 PM MDT.

West Texas-

Pecos Arpt AWOS 114
Coyanosa 2N Mesonet 114
Big Spring Arpt AWOS 113
Post 1NE Mesonet 113
Gail 2ESE Mesonet 112
Midland - N5MXE 112
Wink Arpt ASOS 112

Fort Stockton Arpt ASOS 111
Midland Intl Arpt ASOS 111
Lubbock Arpt ASOS 110
Snyder Arpt AWOS 110
Andrews Climate 110

Seminole Arpt AWOS 109
El Paso Arpt ASOS 107

Chaves County-

8-Mile Draw Raws - NE of Roswell 112

Roswell Arpt ASOS 108

Dunken Raws 101

Eddy County-

2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad 110
Alfadale - Atoka 110
Carlsbad Arpt ASOS 110
Carlsbad Climate 110
Caprock Raws 108
Artesia Arpt AWOS 106
Cottonwood - NW of Artesia 106?

Bat Draw Raws - Carlsbad Caverns 106

Queen Raws 100

Lea County-

Paduca Raws - Near The WIPP Site 113
Jal Climate 110
Tatum Climate 108
Hobbs Arpt 108
NW Hobbs - KM5BS 107

2 SW Tatum 106

Crossroads 106
East Hobbs 106

Woody Farms - 11 North of Hobbs 105

Lincoln County-

Downtown Ruidoso 93

Smokey Bear Raws - Near Ruidoso 92

Sierra Blanca Regional Arpt AWOS 91

Otero County-

Weed - Dark Ridge Observatory 98

Mayhill Raws 96
Mescal Raws - Near Mescalero 93

Hossman Observatory - Mayhill 92

Timberon CW7724 92

Cosmic Raws - Sunspot 87
Cloudcroft - Dry Canyon 87

Sacramento Peak 84

Culberson County-

Dell City 107

McKittrick Canyon Raws 103

Pinery Raws - Pine Springs 98
Dog Canyon Raws 95

Current/High Temperature Data Is Courtesy Of-

NCDC US Records
Davis WeatherLink
NM MesoWest Weather
NWS El Paso Climate Page
NWS Midland Climate Page
NWS Albuquerque Climate Page
NWS Albuquerque Rosa Reports
NWS Midland Regional Climate Summary

NWS Midland Current Observations Page

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!