Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Three Days Of Dangerous Fire Wx Conditions!

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Valid At 6 PM MDT Sunday, June 19, 2011.

Hot - Extremely Dry - Windy = Very Bad News!

An unusually strong late spring upper-level storm is forecast to swing across the northern Rockies today into Monday. The base of this upper-level trough of low pressure is forecast to move across New Mexico Sunday and Monday. This pattern resembles one that we are used to seeing in April, not during the middle of June.

Our current heat wave is forecast to continue today into Monday. Our afternoon high temperatures are forecast to range from 100 -110 across SE NM and W TX. A cold front is forecast to enter the area Monday night or Tuesday, and we should cool down into the 90's for a day or two behind the front next week. But by around next Thursday into the weekend we should be climbing back up to around 100 or above.

Unseasonably windy conditions are forecast for the state this afternoon, and especially tomorrow. Southwesterly-westerly winds are forecast to be sustained at around 20-35 mph, with gusts around 50 mph across most of the state. Most of the lower elevations of SE NM can expect to see southwesterly-westerly winds sustained at around 25-30 mph, with gusts around 35-45 mph tomorrow. A few higher gusts may be possible across some of the mountainous areas such as Guadalupe Pass tomorrow afternoon.

EXTREMELY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY!

SPC Fire Weather Outlook For Sunday.

Combine the near record to record heat, the high winds, the extreme drought conditions, and single digit relative humidity values, and we have the potential for Extremely Critically Dangerous Fire Weather Conditions across much of the state on Sunday. Red Flag Warnings are already flying to the area for today and will do so again tomorrow.

Please refrain from any type of outdoor activity that involves the use of sparks or flames today, and especially tomorrow. Any wild fire that should break out will have the potential to rapidly spread and grow in the high winds. Life threatening conditions could easily result from the development of rapidly spreading wild fires across the area!

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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