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Snow Tonight Into Thursday?

Snowing In Cloudcroft & Ruidoso.



Albuquerque NWS. 


Cannon Air Force Base.


Holloman Air Force Base.


El Paso NWS.


Midland NWS.

At 3:30 PM MST This Wednesday Afternoon.


At 3:30 PM MST This Wednesday Afternoon.


Valid At 2 PM MST Wednesday Afternoon.

Will Rain Change To Snow Tonight?

As of 3:30 PM MST this Wednesday afternoon light to moderate snow was falling in the Sacramento mountains in Cloudcroft, Ruidoso. It was also falling in the La Luz area and Alamogordo areas. 

Temperatures in the mountains are in the 20's and 30's while across southern New Mexico including the Tularosa Basin temps are in the 30's and 40's. Here in Southeastern New Mexico temps are in the upper 30's in the Clovis and Portales areas, the upper 40's in the Roswell area, and the 50's elsewhere except in the Queen and Guadalupe Pass areas where it is in the 30's. It's 38 in Dunken.

A strong jet stream at 30,000' (150 knots or 173 mph) continues driving a strong short wave southward across southwestern New Mexico late this afternoon. Some of the forecast models briefly close this system off into a small closed low just south and west of SE NM tonight into early Thursday morning. This means this approaching Winter Storm has the potential to strengthen some more.

None of the short-range models (in my opinion) are handling this approaching storm very well. Current forecasts call for 3" or so of new accumulations tonight into early tomorrow morning over the Sacramento and Guadalupe mountains. Snow levels are forecast to drop down to around 5,000' tonight. 

Note: Snow levels are already down to around 4,000' in the Tularosa Basin as of 3:30 PM this afternoon. So I highly suspect that that will be the case here in Southeastern New Mexico later tonight into Thursday morning also. I think rain will eventually change over to snow locally. I would not be surprised to see some places end up with a couple of inches here in the lower elevations and perhaps more than is currently forecast in the mountains.


Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
256 PM MST Thu Jan 2 2020

NMZ412-414>416-022300-
Central Tularosa Basin-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of Alamogordo, Tularosa,
White Sands Monument, Mescalero, Timberon, Mountain Park,
Cloudcroft, Sunspot, Apache Summit, Mayhill, Pinon,
and Sacramento
256 PM MST Thu Jan 2 2020

...Snow Falling Across Otero County New Mexico...

At 250 PM mostly light to moderate snow was falling across much
of northern Otero County New Mexico including over
Cloudcroft...Alamogordo...La Luz and surrounding locations.

Up to 3 inch accumulations may occur on mountain areas above 7000
feet with up to an inch possible lower elevations including the
Alamogordo vicinity. Icy slippery roads and low visibility may
therefore produce hazardous driving conditions.

$$

Rogash

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
205 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

.ACCUMULATING SNOW IN THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE
5500 FEET LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

NMZ027-TXZ270-271-277-031015-
/O.NEW.KMAF.WW.Y.0001.200103T0300Z-200103T1500Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Davis Mountains-
Including the cities of Queen, Pine Springs, and Fort Davis
205 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020 /105 PM MST Thu Jan 2 2020/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/
THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one to
  three inches.

* WHERE...Guadalupe and Davis Mountains above 5500 feet.

* WHEN...From 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ this evening to 9 AM CST /8 AM
  MST/ Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Low visibility in
  fog and snow are also likely. The hazardous conditions could
  impact the morning travel.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction - And Sometimes It Hurts!

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