Scattered T-Storms Some Severe Today & Saturday - Continued Hot And Even Hotter Next Week!

- Friday, July 07, 2023

July 2nd, 2023.

Double Rainbow.

Atoka - 4 Miles South Of Artesia, NM.

Storm Prediction Center Severe Weather Outlook Today.

NWS Albuquerque Severe Weather Outlook Today.

Widely Scattered To Scattered T-Storms Some Severe.

A mid-level shortwave rounding the top of the mid-upper level ridge of high pressure over the state this afternoon and evening will aide in producing widely scattered to scattered thunderstorms. The strongest storms with the most aerial coverage will be over parts of northeastern and eastern New Mexico. These areas are in the Storm Prediction Centers "Slight Risk Category." The rest of the eastern plains and parts of the southeastern plains are in the "Marginal Risk Category."

Large hail, damaging thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 58 mph, frequent cloud to ground lightning, and locally heavy rainfall that may produced localized flash flooding are all possible within the mentioned risk areas. A similar setup is forecast for Saturday.

It's Just Going To Get Hotter!

Yet another prolonged heat wave is shaping up over the area and is forecast to continue into the end of next week. Like out heatwave in June where we saw high temperatures of 100º or more for over 15-days, this one shaping up looks similar. In fact last night's 6 PM MDT run of the European (ECMWF) forecast model gets a little crazy next week as far as daily high temps are concerned. But I don't think it's that far off.

Official National Weather Service forecast high temps for the southeastern plains today, Saturday, and Sunday will expected to range from 103º to 106º. Forecast highs for next Monday through Wednesday range from 105º to 106º on Monday, near 108º on Tuesday, and by Wednesday near 110º.

There are variations in the different forecast models forecasted highs for the southeastern plains from today through next week. The Euro (ECMWF) had the highest temps for next the local area for next Tuesday through Friday. Ranging from 110º to 114º. Don't laugh. Remember Roswell officially topped out at 112º on June 27th to establish their second all-time highest recorded temperature (1893-2023). That reading was only eclipsed by the 114º reading set on the same day in 1994 for their all-time record highest temperature.

The main takeaway is that another prolonged heatwave is upon us and is forecast to last at least into the end of next week if not longer! It's fairly likely that we will once again see our high temps reach or exceed 110º here on the southeastern plains by the middle to end of next week.

The Cloudcroft area is expecting high temps in the upper 70's to near 80º today through next Tuesday. Next Wednesday the low 80's. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible each day from today through next week.

The Ruidoso area is expecting high temps in the mid to upper 80's today through Monday. With highs near 90º Tuesday, and the low 90's by next Wednesday. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible each day from today through next week.

The Capitan area is expecting high temps near 90º today through Monday. With highs in the low-mid 90's next Tuesday and Wednesday. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible each day from today through next week.

The Mayhill area is expecting high temps in the low 90's today through Monday. With highs in the mid 90's next Tuesday and Wednesday. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible each day from today through next week.

The Elk and Pinon areas are expecting high temps in the low to mid 90's today through next Tuesday. With highs in the upper 90's next Wednesday. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible each day from today through next week.

The High Rolls/Mountain Park area is expecting high temps in the low 90's today through Monday. With highs in the mid 90's next Tuesday and Wednesday. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible each day from today through next week.

The Sacramento/Weed area is expecting high temps in the mid 80's today through Monday. With highs in the upper 80's next Tuesday and Wednesday. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible each day from today through next week.

The Timberon area is expecting high temps in the upper 80's today through next Tuesday. With highs in the near 90º next Tuesday and Wednesday. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible each day from today through next week.

The Alamogordo area is expecting high temps in near 100º to the low 100's today through next Wednesday. With a slight chance of widely scattered thunderstorms each afternoon, especially near the mountains.

Please remember that these forecasts are subject to change and most likely will with a few variations daily. Check my main weather web page (Welcome To Southeaster New Mexico Weather) where I have each local communities National Weather Service forecasts linked for current forecasts.

ECMWF Regional Forecast High Temperatures.

(Next Wednesday, July 12th).