Turning Sharply Colder - A Winter Mix For Some!
Along St Hwy 244.
Between Cloudcroft & Ruidoso, NM.
Mescalero Apache Indian Reservation
Turning Much Colder With A Taste Of Winter!
At 6 AM MDT Saturday, Oct 28, 2023.
Surface Map Forecast.
Valid At 6 AM MDT Sunday, Oct 29, 2023.
Valid At 6 AP MDT Sunday, Oct 29, 2023.
High Temps Today - Saturday.
NWS NDFD Snowfall Forecast.
Turning Sharply Colder Tonight!
A cold front had sagged southward into southeastern New Mexico and West Texas overnight. It had backed westward up along the east slopes of the northern-central and south-central mountains of New Mexico at sunrise this morning. Low clouds, pockets of fog, and mist blanket parts of the local area this morning.
Breaks in the overcast should occur by mid-day. A few isolated rain showers and t-storms will be possible across the southeastern plains eastward into West Texas this afternoon. As a reinforcing and much colder surge of arctic air moves southward into the local area tonight the low clouds and fog will return. Pockets of light drizzle and or a few light rain showers and maybe a few isolated t-storms will occur this evening. Low clouds, fog, and drizzle should be widespread Sunday morning.
A much cold air mass will invade the area tonight behind the arctic cold front. After seeing high temps today across the southeastern plains range from 70 to 75 Sunday will be another story. Current thinking is that our high temperatures across the southeastern plains will occur early on Sunday with falling temps throughout the day. Highs will only be in the mid 40's to near 50.
Gusty north to northeast winds with speeds in the 20 to 30 mph range will develop along and behind the southward moving arctic cold front this afternoon into Sunday morning. Making it feel much colder than it really is.
Wind chill temperatures Sunday morning across the eastern and southeastern plains are forecast to range from the low teens in the Clovis and Portales areas, to near 20 in the Tatum area, to near 25 in the Hobbs area, to near freezing in the Roswell, Artesia, and Carlsbad areas. So bundle up because it will feel more like winter than fall.
Our low temperatures Monday morning will fall to freezing over most locals with the seasons first freeze in many areas. Those that don't experience their first freeze will likely do so Tuesday morning.
High temperatures on Monday across the southeastern plains will range from the low to mid 40's. Lows Tuesday morning will likely range from the mid to upper 20's. The Canadian forecast model continues to be the colder model and it drops our low temps into the upper teens Tuesday morning. As is the case many times with arctic cold fronts the models struggle sometimes with how cold it gets and I think this may be the case now. So don't be surprised if it's not colder than current forecasts indicate.
Freeze Warnings and Freeze Advisories are in effect for the local area and across the area.
Winter Weather For Some!
Snow is forecast across northern and central New Mexico, and a wintry mix is forecast for parts of the northeastern, and eastern plains of New Mexico, Sunday into Monday morning. Light freezing rain and or light freezing drizzle mixed in with pockets of light snow and sleet will be possible across the northeastern and eastern plains of New Mexico tonight into Sunday morning.
A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for parts of the northern mountains of New Mexico from noon Sunday through 6 AM MDT Monday morning. New snowfall of 2" to 6" is possible.
A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for parts of the northeastern and eastern plains of New Mexico from 6 PM MDT this evening through 6 PM MDT Sunday. A mix of light freezing drizzle, light freezing rain, light sleet, and light snow is forecast. Ice may accumulate on exposed surfaces up to an tenth of an inch. Snow and sleet may accumulate up to one half of an inch.
As of 9:30 AM MDT this Sunday morning there are no Winter Weather Advisories in effect for the southeastern plains or the south-central and Guadalupe mountains. However, it is possible that these areas may see pockets of light freezing drizzle mixed in with with light snow Sunday afternoon into Monday morning. At this time no significant accumulations are forecast for these areas.
High temps in the Sacramento mountains will range from the mid 60's today in the Ruidoso, Sacramento/Weed/Timberon areas, to the low to mid 70's in the High Rolls/Mountain Park, Mayhill, and Hondo areas. Sunday will see these highs drop by some ten to fifteen degrees.
High temps in the Sacramento mountains on Monday will range from the upper 30's at the higher elevations to the mid 40's at the lower elevations. Low temps Monday morning will range from the mid teens to near 20. Again it may be even colder than this.
There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.