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European Model Calls For Heavy Rain/Snow Next Week!

 Sunday Morning At 5 AM MST. 

Monday Morning At 5 AM MST.

Tuesday Morning At 5 AM MST.

Wednesday Morning At 5 AM MST.

Wednesday At 11 PM MST.

Thursday Morning At 5 AM MST.

Temps At 5 PM MST Tuesday.

 Temp Anomaly At 5 PM MST Tuesday.

Albuquerque, NM.

Alamogordo, NM.

Ruidoso, NM.

El Paso, TX.

Guadalupe Pass, TX.

Carlsbad, NM.

Artesia, NM.

Roswell, NM.

Hobbs, NM.

Clovis, NM.

 Lubbock, TX.

Midland, TX.

If you are looking for my photos of the snow in Carlsbad, NM click on this link, and this one

Wow, the European gets really excited about our next winter storm that is forecast to arrive in the area by Monday, and affect our weather into at least Wednesday. Take a look at the 24-hour total precipitation forecasts...widespread 1" to 2" rainfall totals

So how come the snowfall map does not look all that impressive except over the Guadalupe and Sacramento mountains? This is because according to this models run this morning, the temperature profile from the surface up through the mid-levels of the atmosphere (or forecast sounding data), indicates that temps will be hovering to just above freezing for the most part at the surface and just above it.

However, there is a very real chance that these forecast temps may be too warm for some areas, and instead of an inch or two of rain, some of these locations could see snow, and lots of it! I don't want to get too crazy with this just yet because its going to be a close call temperature- wise. We will see all rain if the model is right, a mix of rain and wintry precipitation perhaps for some of us, and lots of snow for others, if its colder than what this model is forecasting.

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2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM 24-Hour Temp Graph

2.1 Downtown Carlsbad, NM 30-Day Temps

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